NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	4.7 [921]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (ORL): +19.7%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.0 [974]		LVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): -14.1%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.04	22	65%	0.18	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.03
DJ White	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	15%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.04	-0.01	7	94%	0.22	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	13	46%	-0.05
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	8	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	11	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.0	31.2	16.4	23.2	1.8	29.2	132.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.2%

ORL +7.3%

CHA -6.2%

CHA -0.6%

ORL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	18.0	14.1	15.5	96.6	109.9	105.7
season	16.2	15.2		102.3	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	19.3	15.9	17.7	19.2	18.0
ORL	13.7	12.9	14.3	15.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DJ White	20	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-13	12	17.0	18.2	-1.23	15.2	13.8	1.34
Eduardo Najera	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-13	12	15.2	19.5	-4.32	13.9	14.2	-0.23
Joel Przybilla	24	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-6	-2	21.9	16.5	5.37	13.5	14.3	-0.74
Dante Cunningham	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-8	2	14.2	18.5	-4.31	14.3	14.1	0.28
Matt Carroll	33	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-10	6	16.8	18.6	-1.85	12.9	14.7	-1.80
Boris Diaw	51	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-8	2	18.7	16.9	1.80	14.1	14.0	0.15
Kwame Brown	45	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-10	6	17.6	18.3	-0.63	14.6	13.5	1.10
Shaun Livingston	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-4	-6	17.5	18.2	-0.65	14.4	13.9	0.52
Gerald Henderson	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-8	2	18.2	17.3	0.91	15.0	12.4	2.58
D.J. Augustin	65	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	18.4	16.7	1.76	13.6	15.5	-1.86
Stephen Jackson	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-1	-12	18.4	16.1	2.31	13.7	15.6	-1.84

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	62	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-7	28	14.7	12.8	1.90	18.3	17.3	0.96
JJ Redick	36	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	12.2	15.3	-3.09	17.7	18.1	-0.40
Gilbert Arenas	33	31	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	4	6	12.3	15.1	-2.75	17.6	18.1	-0.48
Hedo Turkoglu	67	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	7	0	15.1	11.3	3.80	18.7	15.6	3.14
Jason Richardson	69	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	5	4	14.1	14.1	-0.06	17.6	19.0	-1.35
Dwight Howard	63	60	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	7	0	13.8	14.7	-0.90	18.2	17.4	0.85
Ryan Anderson	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	12	-10	13.1	15.4	-2.36	17.8	18.1	-0.26
Jameer Nelson	58	58	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	10	-6	15.1	12.3	2.75	18.1	17.6	0.48
Earl Clark	15	16	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	15	-16	16.3	13.6	2.69	14.8	18.6	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
WAS 95, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
UTA 63, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%