inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 63 Excitement4.0 [1013] MVPYao Ming (HOU): +7.4%
Houston Rockets 84 Comeback1.1 [1122] LVPJim Jackson (HOU): -18.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Ostertag0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.00580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Raul Lopez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05633%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02939%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00171%-0.001-0.02560%-0.02
Mo Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.0540%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Paul Grant-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04833%-0.031-0.0020%-0.02
Raja Bell-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02629%-0.0300.002100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01946%-0.032-0.05650%-0.04
Andrei Kirilenko-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.02842%-0.052-0.05875%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.170,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.050.021232%-0.112-0.0610%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Yao Ming0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.011267%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011265%0.103-0.052100%0.01
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.011258%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Alton Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.01-0.03743%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02325%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00954%0.021-0.03683%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.01661%0.012-0.05683%-0.01
Jim Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.17-0.03-0.02818%-0.084-0.101100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.11.527.715.627.42.427.6123.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +34.2%
HOU +4.7%
HOU +10.9%
UTA -1.8%
HOU +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game18.916.315.776.8102.4100.5
season17.216.599.498.8
opponent15.615.297.1100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.018.916.721.018.9
HOU15.217.916.016.116.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeShawn Stevenson4646-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-212117.620.4-2.7915.417.3-1.90
Sasha Pavlovic5251-0.12-0.380.250.02-5-161118.220.1-1.9116.316.30.02
Mo Williams1818-0.15-0.350.200.08-8-13519.718.61.0417.116.01.01
Carlos Arroyo5554-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-191717.721.3-3.5915.817.1-1.33
Paul Grant4041-0.21-0.290.070.17-13-8-519.917.82.1416.216.3-0.15
Greg Ostertag4645-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-9-12317.620.5-2.9316.216.3-0.05
Jarron Collins4039-0.28-0.22-0.070.10-13-8-520.417.33.1216.815.81.00
Raul Lopez2728-0.33-0.17-0.160.23-19-2-1721.317.73.5917.115.81.33
Raja Bell3738-0.38-0.12-0.260.09-16-5-1119.518.31.1516.416.10.28
Andrei Kirilenko4950-0.45-0.05-0.400.14-20-1-1919.018.70.3116.316.20.08

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yao Ming50500.480.020.460.011651116.515.90.6517.720.6-2.85
Eric Piatkowski34340.420.080.33-0.081741316.616.00.6519.618.31.36
Cuttino Mobley69690.400.100.30-0.131831516.116.9-0.7818.918.80.10
Maurice Taylor48490.300.200.10-0.171651116.416.10.2619.517.91.53
Mike Wilks13130.300.200.09-0.05129319.315.73.6122.418.24.20
Kelvin Cato62610.220.28-0.06-0.071011-115.817.7-1.8919.118.20.83
Steve Francis69690.200.30-0.09-0.06912-315.719.3-3.6118.222.4-4.20
Jim Jackson59590.180.32-0.13-0.02714-716.116.7-0.5918.320.3-2.08
Alton Ford220.000.50-0.500.00021-2119.016.22.8022.018.83.22
Scott Padgett220.000.50-0.500.00021-2119.016.22.8022.018.83.22
Bostjan Nachbar220.000.50-0.500.00021-2119.016.22.8022.018.83.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 92, ORL 1130.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
DAL 82, MEM 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHA 86, ORL 1000.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%