inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 82 Excitement4.7 [854] MVPO.J. Mayo (MEM): +9.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Comeback1.7 [301] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Drew Gooden0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.02-0.01837%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Thomas0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Erick Dampier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.013100%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Matt Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Singleton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.01764%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jason Terry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.000.061650%-0.011-0.024100%0.02
Kris Humphries-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.040,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.031250%0.064-0.102100%0.01
Jose Juan Barea-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.0350%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00825%-0.082-0.0400%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.160,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.030.022235%-0.122-0.052100%0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.16-0.010.061678%0.132-0.0300%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01267%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.010.01546%0.0000.00367%-0.01
Hamed Haddadi00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.042057%0.063-0.072100%0.01
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.02536%0.001-0.02475%-0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02862%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.080.00-0.0240%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.020.021845%0.014-0.10450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.331.515.725.12.426.2126.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +34.6%
MEM +0.9%
MEM +4.7%
MEM +5.7%
MEM +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMEMNBADALMEMNBA
this game14.617.115.389.1108.9106.0
season15.215.4107.2106.8
opponent15.015.5108.4104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.114.115.115.314.6
MEM15.915.316.920.617.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Carroll550.00-0.500.50-0.124-20248.015.0-7.0021.416.84.60
James Singleton550.00-0.500.50-0.124-20248.015.0-7.0021.416.84.60
Rodrigue Beaubois4241-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-161613.515.6-2.0616.817.3-0.51
Tim Thomas3229-0.17-0.330.160.06-8-8016.413.72.7414.818.1-3.29
Kris Humphries1615-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-9213.214.9-1.7314.917.5-2.55
Erick Dampier4647-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-7-9213.415.8-2.4616.917.2-0.25
Dirk Nowitzki7171-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-10414.714.40.3117.615.22.41
Drew Gooden4036-0.28-0.22-0.070.18-160-1616.613.13.5516.317.6-1.30
Jose Juan Barea2323-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-10415.314.40.8618.016.71.21
Jason Terry6159-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-5-615.413.22.2017.017.2-0.26
Jason Kidd5857-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-1-1414.415.0-0.6017.017.2-0.20
Shawn Marion6162-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-4-814.714.50.1617.915.22.62

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay74760.430.070.36-0.0717-11817.117.00.0714.614.6-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet30320.420.080.330.031331015.517.8-2.2816.413.72.69
Jamaal Tinsley28300.300.200.100.01106414.518.2-3.6616.313.82.49
O.J. Mayo76760.290.210.07-0.091331017.812.85.0614.515.2-0.69
Sam Young27290.280.220.070.11610-414.418.2-3.7315.914.01.81
DeMarre Carroll18190.250.250.010.08610-414.717.6-2.9214.114.8-0.71
Zach Randolph72730.250.25-0.01-0.05106417.614.72.9214.814.10.71
Mike Conley59590.200.30-0.10-0.10106418.115.12.9914.215.3-1.11
Marc Gasol60600.080.42-0.33-0.00313-1017.815.52.2813.716.4-2.69
Hamed Haddadi330.000.50-0.500.12-420-2420.316.93.395.714.9-9.25
Marcus Williams330.000.50-0.500.12-420-2420.316.93.395.714.9-9.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 63, HOU 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CLE 74, DET 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
OKC 101, SAC 1160.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.5%