NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	5.0 [823]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (SAC): +11.2%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.1 [873]		LVP	Matt Barnes (SAC): -8.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	18	56%	0.16	3	-0.07	19	84%	0.03
Andre Roberson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	61%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	-0.07	15	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	28	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.04	0.06	12	75%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.7	32.8	14.8	24.7	1.8	33.5	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +40.9%

SAC +0.2%

SAC +12.9%

OKC -4.3%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	12.9	15.9	14.8	102.0	114.9	107.7
season	14.0	15.4		107.0	106.0
opponent	14.6	15.1		110.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.7	11.8	12.8	12.5	12.9
SAC	15.3	15.3	16.0	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	44	45	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-18	21	13.3	12.5	0.81	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Kyle Singler	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	10.7	13.0	-2.29	17.0	15.8	1.15
Jerami Grant	66	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-11	7	12.1	14.4	-2.30	15.5	16.6	-1.08
Alex Abrines	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-10	5	11.3	13.1	-1.77	13.6	16.1	-2.53
Semaj Christon	16	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-12	9	13.8	12.7	1.10	16.6	15.8	0.84
Joffrey Lauvergne	13	13	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-8	1	13.4	12.8	0.57	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Andre Roberson	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-13	11	12.8	13.2	-0.46	16.1	15.3	0.77
Russell Westbrook	73	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-8	1	12.4	14.2	-1.82	16.2	15.1	1.08
Anthony Morrow	38	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-3	-9	13.7	12.4	1.29	16.2	15.7	0.49
Domantas Sabonis	29	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	13.6	12.6	1.03	16.2	15.7	0.50
Victor Oladipo	72	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.2	12.2	0.97	15.9	15.9	-0.05
Steven Adams	58	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	4	-23	13.0	12.8	0.23	16.2	15.4	0.77

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.09	17	-2	19	15.8	16.0	-0.24	12.7	13.2	-0.48
Ben McLemore	37	36	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	1	13	15.1	16.3	-1.18	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Ty Lawson	44	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	3	9	15.5	16.1	-0.59	12.5	13.2	-0.73
Garrett Temple	58	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	0	15	15.4	16.5	-1.14	12.4	13.5	-1.06
Kosta Koufos	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	8	-1	14.9	16.4	-1.50	12.8	12.9	-0.13
DeMarcus Cousins	71	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	8	-1	16.2	15.0	1.21	13.3	11.9	1.37
Darren Collison	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	16.3	15.2	1.13	13.3	12.1	1.22
Arron Afflalo	62	60	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	13	-11	16.3	15.2	1.10	13.4	12.1	1.26
Rudy Gay	71	68	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	18	-21	16.3	14.8	1.54	12.8	13.1	-0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 90, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHX 98, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	94.8%