NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	4.2 [949]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +14.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.1 [448]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -9.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	76%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.09	6	80%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	15	58%	0.00	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.03	20	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	5	110%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	64%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	35%	-0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.0	34.2	17.7	23.1	1.8	31.2	131.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +30.1%

SEA +3.4%

POR -3.2%

SEA +17.1%

SEA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.8	17.5	15.5	104.7	113.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		103.9	103.8
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	16.7	16.9	14.3	15.8
SEA	19.1	14.0	19.1	18.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	18	19	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-20	31	11.9	16.8	-4.85	16.9	17.7	-0.78
Arvydas Sabonis	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	19.5	14.2	5.28	17.7	17.4	0.27
Stacey Augmon	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-1	-7	21.4	15.2	6.17	14.2	17.8	-3.59
Steven Smith	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-10	11	16.3	14.9	1.46	16.4	19.4	-2.99
Damon Stoudamire	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-12	15	15.1	17.5	-2.45	18.0	16.3	1.66
Rod Strickland	25	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	3	-15	17.5	15.1	2.45	16.3	18.0	-1.66
Dale Davis	33	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	1	-11	14.9	16.3	-1.46	19.4	16.4	2.99
Scottie Pippen	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	14.9	19.9	-4.95	17.5	17.4	0.18
Bonzi Wells	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.08	-13	4	-17	16.3	14.8	1.49	18.0	16.7	1.29
Rasheed Wallace	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	15.3	20.6	-5.34	17.6	16.9	0.69

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	-4	17	17.2	20.4	-3.28	15.1	22.2	-7.13
Rashard Lewis	65	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-1	11	17.8	16.6	1.22	15.1	17.9	-2.81
Brent Barry	48	47	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	3	3	16.2	19.1	-2.85	16.4	15.1	1.33
Vin Baker	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	5	-1	16.5	19.4	-2.89	16.4	14.6	1.76
Patrick Ewing	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	1	7	19.1	16.1	2.96	16.0	15.5	0.52
Ruben Patterson	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	8	-7	16.1	19.1	-2.96	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Jelani McCoy	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	8	-7	19.4	16.3	3.03	14.9	16.4	-1.48
Desmond Mason	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	16.1	17.9	-1.83	18.2	15.2	2.99
Emanual Davis	48	47	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	10	-11	19.3	15.3	4.08	16.3	15.2	1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, VAN 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.9%
OKC 101, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
BOS 93, UTA 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%