NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	5.0 [494]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (ATL): +2.9%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.0 [697]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -24.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Popeye Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Dana Barros	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	14	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.13	-0.08	0.04	20	42%	-0.14	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	10	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.06	2	-0.07	7	29%	-0.07
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	55%	-0.02	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	13	47%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	25.4	15.7	26.0	1.8	33.4	126.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.7%

BOS -0.6%

ATL +18.1%

BOS -8.5%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.4	15.8	91.4	105.3	99.6
season	15.0	16.7		98.1	97.2
opponent	16.3	15.8		94.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	15.1	16.6	16.1	15.5
ATL	14.7	16.2	12.2	18.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	58	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-14	14	15.1	16.0	-0.83	15.6	14.9	0.78
Dana Barros	30	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-9	4	17.7	14.4	3.27	16.4	14.9	1.49
Bruce Bowen	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-10	6	16.4	15.0	1.35	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Tony Battie	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-6	-2	14.9	16.6	-1.74	15.1	15.8	-0.75
Popeye Jones	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.7	15.7	-0.95	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Ron Mercer	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-10	6	14.2	19.0	-4.80	14.5	17.7	-3.23
Eric Riley	31	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-8	2	16.6	14.9	1.74	15.8	15.1	0.75
Greg Minor	35	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	18.2	13.8	4.45	17.8	14.0	3.83
Kenny Anderson	63	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	14.4	17.7	-3.27	14.9	16.4	-1.49
Antoine Walker	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	3	-20	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.0	16.2	-1.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	69	71	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-2	18	15.5	15.0	0.53	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	70	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.03	16	-2	18	14.8	17.1	-2.33	15.5	15.2	0.33
Steven Smith	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	5	4	14.6	17.4	-2.81	14.9	17.0	-2.15
Alan Henderson	63	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	1	12	14.8	16.5	-1.79	14.3	17.8	-3.48
LaPhonso Ellis	62	60	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	9	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.55	14.8	16.7	-1.88
Tyrone Corbin	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	10	-6	17.5	14.0	3.52	16.5	14.7	1.77
Mark West	17	18	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	9	-4	18.5	14.7	3.81	17.3	15.0	2.33
Chris Crawford	18	19	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	6	2	16.1	15.2	0.87	17.6	14.9	2.74
Ed Gray	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	13.3	15.4	-2.08	15.0	15.5	-0.46
Grant Long	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	20	-26	16.0	14.9	1.13	16.3	14.9	1.45
Anthony Johnson	25	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	16	-18	15.0	15.5	-0.53	15.5	15.5	0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, MIA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 71, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
POR 91, DET 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%