inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 71 Excitement5.1 [786] MVPRoy Hibbert (IND): +5.3%
Indiana Pacers 82 Comeback1.2 [971] LVPRaymond Felton (NYK): -12.0%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.050.04757%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.02469%0.051-0.03560%-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.00844%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Quentin Richardson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Copeland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.031036%0.011-0.032100%0.01
J.R. Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.001235%-0.0600.00250%-0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.011649%0.044-0.111173%0.00
Pablo Prigioni-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0010%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Raymond Felton-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01829%-0.053-0.07580%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.020.021856%0.102-0.04786%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.021100%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.01757%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Orlando Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.050.041650%0.043-0.052100%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.03333%-0.02
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
David West0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.000.001142%-0.013-0.06475%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.190.01-0.091734%0.025-0.10757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.33.532.418.530.40.840.2151.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +22.1%
NYK -0.7%
IND +20.3%
IND +4.4%
IND +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKINDNBANYKINDNBA
this game15.517.315.482.692.1104.1
season16.216.1107.9102.4
opponent15.515.599.0103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK15.416.218.612.315.5
IND18.917.315.717.517.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson440.00-0.500.50-0.155-162110.715.8-5.0316.217.4-1.14
Chris Copeland120.00-0.500.50-0.093-141711.015.6-4.6017.017.3-0.34
Kenyon Martin3436-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-141716.415.01.3318.216.71.49
Steve Novak45-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-162110.715.8-5.0318.017.30.70
Amar'e Stoudemire1516-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-111116.915.31.6817.817.20.58
J.R. Smith4649-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-6115.315.9-0.6115.919.0-3.11
Pablo Prigioni3940-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-6-5-116.714.62.1418.916.02.93
Iman Shumpert6668-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.16-5-6115.416.1-0.7917.616.41.25
Raymond Felton6464-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-9-2-715.017.1-2.1417.417.20.14
Tyson Chandler5555-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-143-1715.116.3-1.1116.618.6-1.98
Carmelo Anthony6769-0.46-0.04-0.430.01-165-2115.515.6-0.1117.317.5-0.21
Jason Kidd3537-0.520.02-0.54-0.05-165-2116.514.91.5817.017.6-0.53

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul George79780.54-0.040.580.0417-62317.615.32.2915.813.52.26
Roy Hibbert72730.52-0.020.54-0.0720-92917.915.02.8916.012.83.18
David West64640.500.000.500.1213-21517.417.20.2515.914.61.22
George Hill77740.480.020.460.0714-31716.920.3-3.4615.515.7-0.14
Lance Stephenson60610.230.27-0.030.1829-717.217.7-0.4716.213.82.41
Sam Young12110.130.37-0.24-0.0465118.617.11.4418.015.22.81
D.J. Augustin35320.120.38-0.270.12011-1117.717.10.5313.216.9-3.76
Tyler Hansbrough28250.020.48-0.460.14-415-1916.417.8-1.3814.615.9-1.28
Orlando Johnson210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1717.017.3-0.3411.015.6-4.60
Ben Hansbrough210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1717.017.3-0.3411.015.6-4.60
Ian Mahinmi1410-0.040.54-0.570.17-718-2516.117.6-1.5012.316.0-3.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 94, DEN 1100.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,195.3%
BOS 85, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,195.2%
ORL 83, IND 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.0%