inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 94 Excitement4.8 [872] MVPEarl Boykins (DEN): +15.9%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback1.2 [1075] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -13.5%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Kasun0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01167%0.0200.004100%0.02
Grant Hill0.010,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.020.021359%0.031-0.02683%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01856%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.00-0.04747%0.032-0.033100%0.02
Trevor Ariza0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Travis Diener0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03855%0.021-0.02667%-0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.01-0.03937%0.022-0.041100%0.01
Darko Milicic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01558%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Tony Battie-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.001045%-0.012-0.0620%-0.04
Dwight Howard-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.060.031060%0.026-0.15560%-0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.120.03-0.011470%0.171-0.012100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.031863%0.205-0.132100%0.01
Marcus Camby0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.010.041073%0.081-0.022100%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.05-0.02955%0.113-0.07450%-0.02
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.030.031272%0.084-0.07560%-0.02
Howard Eisley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011032%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.426.816.025.02.829.5128.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +40.3%
ORL -1.1%
DEN +7.4%
DEN +4.8%
ORL -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDENNBAORLDENNBA
this game16.014.915.6102.2117.0104.4
season16.414.4104.4103.5
opponent15.915.7103.5105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.817.218.614.216.0
DEN13.517.115.714.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon11110.04-0.540.58-0.022-182016.216.00.1620.414.26.15
Trevor Ariza560.00-0.500.500.03-1-15148.016.5-8.5114.015.0-1.00
Travis Diener560.00-0.500.500.03-1-15148.016.5-8.5114.015.0-1.00
Mario Kasun66-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-151419.215.83.3420.314.65.77
Jameer Nelson5961-0.04-0.460.43-0.102-182014.918.0-3.0515.014.90.04
Grant Hill5456-0.23-0.270.040.00-8-8015.516.8-1.2313.617.0-3.42
Tony Battie6365-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-10415.716.8-1.1514.815.1-0.29
Hedo Turkoglu4645-0.33-0.17-0.170.02-12-4-818.213.94.3016.113.82.30
Darko Milicic3739-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-4-817.714.92.7815.714.41.38
Dwight Howard6665-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-11-5-616.016.00.0114.216.5-2.29
DeShawn Stevenson5860-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.07-13-3-1015.417.2-1.8413.617.2-3.56
Carlos Arroyo5050-0.500.00-0.500.06-193-2217.114.82.3615.714.01.67

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby57590.51-0.010.520.101421215.014.80.1616.714.91.77
Ruben Patterson69690.390.110.280.04124814.017.6-3.5716.215.60.64
Greg Buckner35360.320.180.15-0.03124816.813.82.9217.814.92.85
Earl Boykins41400.300.200.11-0.02115616.313.92.3617.415.02.40
Andre Miller60590.270.230.030.09610-414.415.9-1.5715.516.9-1.40
Carmelo Anthony69680.230.27-0.040.0279-215.014.70.3515.617.3-1.75
Reggie Evans56530.220.28-0.060.08511-616.512.63.9117.214.52.75
Eduardo Najera31280.130.37-0.24-0.05610-414.715.0-0.2915.016.5-1.50
Francisco Elson37360.120.38-0.250.01412-812.816.3-3.5514.816.8-1.99
Howard Eisley540.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1412.815.1-2.268.216.4-8.15
DerMarr Johnson540.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1412.815.1-2.268.216.4-8.15
Linas Kleiza540.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1412.815.1-2.268.216.4-8.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 71, IND 820.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHA 93, DEN 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
POR 89, ATL 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,194.6%