NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	4.6 [871]		MVP	Arron Afflalo (DEN): +17.9%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.5 [779]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -10.0%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	16	55%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.06
Ronald Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Derrick Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	12	54%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.27	0.04	0.13	11	109%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	15	63%	0.19	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.04
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	11	57%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	-0.09	14	47%	0.07	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	33.5	16.3	26.5	2.5	31.2	134.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +29.6%

DEN +9.8%

CHA -5.9%

DEN +18.4%

CHA -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DEN	NBA	CHA	DEN	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.3	103.3	115.6	106.0
season	16.2	14.4		103.0	110.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	20.8	15.5	15.9	14.6	16.6
DEN	13.5	14.5	15.4	18.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	12.0	16.8	-4.83	22.7	15.0	7.70
Stephen Graham	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	13.6	16.9	-3.28	21.2	14.8	6.43
Gerald Henderson	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	13.6	16.9	-3.28	21.2	14.8	6.43
Derrick Brown	9	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-13	15	11.9	17.1	-5.25	21.1	14.8	6.30
DeSagana Diop	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.5	15.3	0.14
Raymond Felton	53	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-9	7	17.5	15.4	2.14	15.5	15.1	0.40
D.J. Augustin	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-2	-7	17.1	16.4	0.69	14.1	15.8	-1.63
Ronald Murray	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	14.8	18.8	-4.03	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Nazr Mohammed	35	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	18.5	15.4	3.11	14.0	16.3	-2.31
Boris Diaw	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	17.0	15.4	1.65	15.1	16.2	-1.05
Stephen Jackson	77	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	5	-21	16.7	16.2	0.53	14.9	18.2	-3.32
Gerald Wallace	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	3	-17	16.8	12.0	4.83	15.0	22.7	-7.70

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-1	13	15.0	16.5	-1.48	16.2	18.0	-1.87
Joey Graham	52	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	4	3	14.9	16.0	-1.10	18.5	14.1	4.43
Chauncey Billups	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	1	9	15.4	15.3	0.15	17.0	15.5	1.57
Nene	71	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	2	7	15.1	16.4	-1.24	16.9	15.5	1.39
Malik Allen	37	37	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	8	-5	18.0	13.5	4.48	15.2	17.6	-2.32
Chris Andersen	39	39	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	13.4	16.9	-3.54	15.3	17.6	-2.39
J.R. Smith	52	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	6	-1	15.8	14.8	0.95	15.6	18.1	-2.45
Kenyon Martin	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	5	1	14.3	15.9	-1.54	20.2	15.0	5.28
Ty Lawson	32	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	12	-13	16.2	15.0	1.19	15.3	17.3	-2.06
Johan Petro	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	22.7	15.0	7.70	12.0	16.8	-4.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 93, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%