NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	4.9 [839]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +21.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	120		Comeback	1.5 [898]		LVP	Paul Pierce (LAC): -12.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	71%	0.16	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	22	45%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Doug McDermott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	17	59%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.04	0.03	15	81%	0.22	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.04	0.03	11	81%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	7	77%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.02	0.08	7	100%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	16	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.3	29.3	16.7	26.3	3.4	27.6	129.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.2%

LAC +5.0%

CHI -5.1%

LAC +6.0%

LAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	14.9	96.9	126.3	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		103.7	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	14.7	14.3	14.6	14.6
LAC	17.0	14.7	13.9	16.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Bairstow	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.32	-11	-16	5	14.0	14.7	-0.67	17.0	15.4	1.58
Tony Snell	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.34	-14	-13	-1	15.0	14.5	0.47	15.7	15.5	0.18
Taj Gibson	59	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-26	25	14.3	15.2	-0.92	16.7	13.8	2.96
Doug McDermott	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.38	-19	-8	-11	15.4	14.1	1.33	15.6	15.5	0.11
Aaron Brooks	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.39	-20	-7	-13	16.2	13.8	2.37	14.8	15.9	-1.15
E'Twaun Moore	60	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-20	13	14.4	15.1	-0.69	16.5	13.8	2.75
Kirk Hinrich	24	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-19	11	15.1	14.5	0.61	12.6	16.5	-3.90
Pau Gasol	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-21	15	14.5	14.9	-0.43	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Bobby Portis	37	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.39	-26	-1	-25	15.2	14.3	0.92	13.8	16.7	-2.96
Jimmy Butler	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-18	9	14.2	15.9	-1.67	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Derrick Rose	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-13	-1	14.0	16.1	-2.12	16.0	14.6	1.37

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	17	-7	15.1	15.9	-0.82	14.5	14.7	-0.13
DeAndre Jordan	70	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	9	9	15.7	15.2	0.51	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.17	18	9	9	15.5	15.6	-0.06	14.1	15.3	-1.27
Chris Paul	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	11	5	15.9	14.8	1.13	14.3	15.3	-0.93
JJ Redick	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.16	15	12	3	16.2	14.6	1.53	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Austin Rivers	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.14	12	15	-3	14.6	16.2	-1.53	15.0	14.4	0.57
Jamal Crawford	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	15	-3	15.8	15.2	0.56	15.2	14.0	1.14
Lance Stephenson	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.22	11	16	-5	15.2	15.6	-0.44	15.4	14.4	0.94
Cole Aldrich	20	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	24	-21	15.1	15.6	-0.49	16.3	14.2	2.18
Pablo Prigioni	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.22	11	16	-5	14.9	15.8	-0.84	15.9	14.2	1.75
CJ Wilcox	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	21	-15	15.2	15.6	-0.36	13.6	14.7	-1.08
Jeff Ayres	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	21	-15	15.2	15.6	-0.36	13.6	14.7	-1.08
Paul Pierce	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	30	-33	15.7	15.4	0.32	14.2	14.9	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DET 94, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	95.8%
UTA 70, MEM 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%