inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 94 Excitement4.9 [811] MVPLoy Vaught (DET): +7.1%
Philadelphia 76ers 100 Comeback1.3 [889] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -12.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Loy Vaught0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.025100%0.081-0.0000%0.00
Terry Mills0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00764%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Eric Montross0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner0.000,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.020.02683%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Michael Curry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.00567%0.042-0.052100%0.01
John Crotty-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03961%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Jud Buechler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01633%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jerome Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.00848%-0.031-0.03944%-0.05
Grant Hill-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01440%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.040.021137%-0.111-0.0120%-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse-0.130,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.03-0.051837%-0.083-0.05580%0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron McKie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Matt Geiger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.001162%0.052-0.03250%-0.01
Tyrone Hill0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03564%0.073-0.051100%0.01
George Lynch0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,00.00-0.060.05-0.021250%0.052-0.051070%-0.02
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Todd MacCulloch00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ira Bowman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.031450%0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.05729%-0.003-0.0600%0.00
Allen Iverson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.032257%0.077-0.14978%-0.00
Theo Ratliff0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.02550%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game15.80.041.421.528.52.630.4140.2
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +23.7%
PHI +8.9%
PHI +26.4%
DET -10.5%
PHI +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPHINBADETPHINBA
this game13.915.115.294.0101.0101.7
season14.115.0104.299.5
opponent15.515.398.1103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.612.215.013.013.9
PHI13.715.516.314.715.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Crotty49490.11-0.610.71-0.3014-203412.715.1-2.4314.815.3-0.56
Eric Montross19180.03-0.530.57-0.208-14229.914.8-4.9316.114.81.22
Loy Vaught2625-0.08-0.420.34-0.266-121812.714.3-1.6214.015.4-1.47
Grant Hill3131-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-2-214.613.61.0915.814.71.13
Mikki Moore3433-0.16-0.340.17-0.07-3-3015.113.31.8614.015.6-1.55
Michael Curry4543-0.16-0.340.17-0.02-5-1-414.313.60.7313.416.3-2.94
Jud Buechler2929-0.22-0.280.05-0.282-81013.214.2-0.9116.314.51.77
Christian Laettner3534-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-1-414.913.41.5316.314.41.92
Jerome Williams5758-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-104-1413.514.4-0.9313.716.9-3.19
Terry Mills4545-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-115-1615.112.92.1416.114.21.84
Lindsey Hunter6162-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.17-104-1414.413.21.2115.114.90.23
Jerry Stackhouse6968-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.13-126-1814.013.60.4515.813.42.44

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Allen Iverson89890.500.000.500.249-31215.015.5-0.4914.112.02.12
Tyrone Hill53540.440.060.390.189-31216.813.03.8514.912.72.21
Eric Snow64660.340.160.190.118-21016.512.44.1214.113.50.64
Matt Geiger52530.320.180.130.117-1814.315.9-1.5512.915.0-2.01
Theo Ratliff61590.260.240.020.1442215.714.11.5914.912.42.58
George Lynch70720.250.250.000.1633016.212.33.8413.614.6-1.00
Aaron McKie41420.250.25-0.010.1633013.416.2-2.8113.114.5-1.41
Toni Kukoc52520.240.26-0.020.037-1813.516.7-3.2113.314.5-1.25
Todd MacCulloch330.000.50-0.500.12-410-144.715.4-10.7213.713.9-0.23
Jumaine Jones330.000.50-0.500.12-410-144.715.4-10.7213.713.9-0.23
Ira Bowman220.000.50-0.500.12-410-145.515.3-9.7617.013.83.17
Kevin Ollie55-0.100.60-0.700.14-814-228.415.4-7.019.614.1-4.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 93, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
UTA 70, MEM 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,195.7%
VAN 100, GSW 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.7%