inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 70 Excitement4.8 [875] MVPZach Randolph (MEM): +5.9%
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Comeback1.3 [997] LVPMo Williams (UTA): -14.9%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.001950%0.031-0.016100%0.02
Jeremy Evans0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alec Burks-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02657%-0.0110.002100%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0100%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.000.03737%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Gordon Hayward-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.01853%0.013-0.0610%-0.01
Paul Millsap-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00733%-0.0600.00450%-0.02
Derrick Favors-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03922%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Randy Foye-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.02929%-0.1000.00667%-0.00
Mo Williams-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.16-0.04-0.051326%-0.073-0.08540%-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.012053%0.091-0.03771%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.02375%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.02-0.041154%0.052-0.00475%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.01955%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.02383%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01727%-0.021-0.0210%-0.02
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.00625%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03729%-0.042-0.0100%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.01940%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.01617%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.93.428.516.731.02.632.5135.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +20.3%
MEM +11.1%
MEM +6.3%
MEM +11.2%
MEM +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMEMNBAUTAMEMNBA
this game17.016.315.481.498.9104.1
season16.016.5104.6102.9
opponent15.515.199.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.118.017.014.017.0
MEM14.516.316.517.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Evans330.00-0.500.500.03-1-15146.017.4-11.3718.016.31.74
Jamaal Tinsley2626-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-131017.316.80.5314.817.0-2.16
Alec Burks2322-0.08-0.420.340.10-6-10417.316.90.4516.516.30.24
Marvin Williams3131-0.16-0.340.180.07-8-8018.915.93.0614.717.2-2.50
Paul Millsap5049-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.17-3-131017.416.41.0116.216.5-0.36
Derrick Favors4748-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-13-3-1017.416.50.9416.016.7-0.62
Gordon Hayward5556-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-8-8015.918.9-3.0617.214.72.50
Randy Foye6365-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-10-6-416.917.3-0.4516.316.5-0.24
Mo Williams6061-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.09-13-3-1016.817.3-0.5317.014.82.16
Al Jefferson7274-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.05-15-1-1416.917.6-0.7116.515.11.46

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley58560.470.030.43-0.0618-22016.516.00.4317.116.80.27
Zach Randolph56530.450.050.40-0.021601617.114.82.3017.116.80.21
Tayshaun Prince61580.430.070.35-0.0717-11816.116.9-0.8616.717.6-0.93
Ed Davis42420.370.130.24-0.011331014.917.6-2.7417.017.0-0.00
Jerryd Bayless49490.260.240.02-0.03106415.517.4-1.8617.516.21.29
Tony Allen35340.240.26-0.020.09511-617.315.71.6617.116.90.28
Marc Gasol49480.120.38-0.25-0.02511-616.316.3-0.0416.817.2-0.32
Quincy Pondexter15160.060.44-0.38-0.03313-1014.616.7-2.0818.316.71.64
Darrell Arthur27290.050.45-0.390.11-218-2016.916.10.7717.116.90.14
Keyon Dooling29300.030.47-0.430.09-218-2016.016.5-0.4316.817.1-0.27
Austin Daye14150.010.49-0.470.10-319-2219.615.73.9614.517.5-2.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 106, SAS 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,195.9%
DET 94, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,195.7%
CHI 93, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%