inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 87 Excitement5.4 [757] MVPRandy Foye (DEN): +10.3%
Denver Nuggets 97 Comeback1.2 [667] LVPLuol Deng (CHI): -32.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joakim Noah0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.041046%0.031-0.00475%-0.00
Tony Snell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erik Murphy0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.111165%-0.0000.001100%0.00
Derrick Rose-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.022046%0.032-0.0610%-0.01
Taj Gibson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01945%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.020.04564%-0.022-0.031100%0.00
Marquis Teague-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02527%-0.063-0.031100%-0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.001837%-0.063-0.07425%-0.05
Luol Deng-0.330,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.26-0.10-0.031817%-0.184-0.1400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.026100%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.031263%0.071-0.00367%-0.01
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.00-0.05950%0.071-0.02633%-0.05
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00756%0.0400.0020%-0.04
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.061338%0.031-0.043100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00837%-0.0100.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.011158%0.022-0.042100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.05-0.01945%-0.063-0.04475%-0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.0020%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.04-0.01629%-0.063-0.0720%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.53.528.618.630.02.832.3140.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +51.4%
CHI -4.0%
CHI -8.7%
DEN +8.4%
DEN +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDENNBACHIDENNBA
this game15.214.715.190.6100.0105.2
season16.314.0101.1104.5
opponent14.915.3106.499.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.414.616.313.415.2
DEN12.416.713.216.614.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Snell23-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-121410.515.3-4.7713.014.7-1.73
Erik Murphy23-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-121410.515.3-4.7713.014.7-1.73
Marquis Teague2831-0.07-0.430.37-0.339-192814.915.3-0.3915.414.40.99
Nazr Mohammed1517-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-8614.915.2-0.2813.215.0-1.82
Mike Dunleavy6161-0.21-0.290.08-0.303-131614.815.9-1.1315.713.02.72
Carlos Boozer6261-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-5015.714.11.5814.415.1-0.68
Joakim Noah6664-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-5015.115.3-0.2415.413.22.18
Luol Deng6768-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-166-2215.713.81.9213.417.7-4.34
Taj Gibson4749-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.10-100-1014.815.5-0.7014.714.7-0.06
Kirk Hinrich6262-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.15-9-1-815.115.3-0.2015.213.81.42
Derrick Rose6866-0.43-0.07-0.370.12-199-2815.314.90.3914.415.4-0.99

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenneth Faried57570.400.100.290.2555015.213.91.2915.614.51.14
Jordan Hamilton48450.340.160.180.041001014.115.2-1.1014.415.8-1.44
Nate Robinson49490.320.180.140.0691814.315.1-0.7615.015.4-0.42
Darrell Arthur36350.270.230.030.0091813.715.2-1.5215.515.00.59
JJ Hickson55560.270.230.030.38-414-1815.713.42.3315.614.51.14
Ty Lawson71690.260.240.020.35-313-1615.213.31.8214.716.4-1.67
Timofey Mozgov42400.250.250.00-0.1614-41813.415.7-2.3314.515.6-1.14
Andre Miller29290.230.27-0.030.0373414.015.0-1.0215.914.91.05
Randy Foye26260.200.30-0.11-0.0173413.415.1-1.7217.014.52.46
Wilson Chandler5355-0.000.50-0.500.12-414-1815.314.01.2915.115.3-0.22
Evan Fournier1919-0.020.52-0.55-0.02010-1016.614.22.4313.815.5-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 93, LAC 1200.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
BOS 87, CHH 1050.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
TOR 75, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%