inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 87 Excitement5.1 [483] MVPEldridge Recasner (CHH): +6.2%
Charlotte Hornets 105 Comeback1.2 [516] LVPDavid Wesley (CHH): -15.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.01450%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Eric Riley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00257%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Antoine Walker-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.012456%0.053-0.07967%-0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.03-0.030.07679%-0.032-0.04250%-0.02
Paul Pierce-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0020%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.070,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.04-0.051841%-0.032-0.04367%-0.01
Dana Barros-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.04-0.051030%-0.053-0.0400%0.00
Greg Minor-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.02325%-0.063-0.052100%0.01
Kenny Anderson-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.02-0.031431%-0.073-0.061100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.160.010.117107%0.0600.0000%0.00
J.R. Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.011759%0.051-0.001080%-0.02
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02757%0.021-0.00786%-0.00
Chuck Person0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.02967%0.032-0.0200%0.00
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.02-0.04540%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Charles Shackleford0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.02656%-0.0200.00667%-0.02
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.03542%0.023-0.09250%-0.01
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.040.02662%0.015-0.144100%0.02
David Wesley0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.14-0.06-0.051041%-0.084-0.07771%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.728.315.427.32.032.2131.2
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +41.6%
CHH +12.2%
BOS -3.6%
CHH +0.3%
BOS -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHHNBABOSCHHNBA
this game14.415.015.888.8107.199.6
season15.015.798.199.2
opponent15.515.899.4100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.614.913.913.414.4
CHH15.715.714.913.815.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce20200.01-0.510.520.010-181815.614.11.5916.114.71.38
Eric Riley1213-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-161415.614.21.3615.215.00.27
Dana Barros4545-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-141013.515.2-1.6616.014.21.85
Walter McCarty3637-0.15-0.350.21-0.09-2-161413.614.8-1.1815.214.90.26
Andrew DeClercq4040-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-5-13813.315.2-1.8815.214.80.38
Greg Minor3534-0.20-0.300.100.00-7-11413.115.1-1.9414.915.1-0.23
Popeye Jones1619-0.20-0.300.090.03-8-10216.713.92.8215.414.90.52
Ron Mercer6160-0.21-0.290.090.00-7-11415.113.21.9714.915.1-0.13
Tony Battie4141-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-6-615.313.71.6014.715.2-0.59
Antoine Walker8077-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-8-214.314.6-0.2714.616.3-1.70
Kenny Anderson6565-0.39-0.11-0.290.08-16-2-1414.813.51.3214.316.4-2.15
Bruce Bowen3939-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-17-1-1613.614.9-1.2815.114.90.17

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
B.J. Armstrong27280.420.080.340.04135815.115.00.1015.414.01.46
Brad Miller51510.420.080.33-0.021531215.114.90.1213.914.9-0.97
J.R. Reid79760.360.140.22-0.02135815.114.70.3314.812.82.02
Chuck Person86880.360.140.21-0.03135814.915.6-0.6614.117.1-3.02
Eldridge Recasner51510.330.170.17-0.081441016.213.72.5813.715.2-1.50
Chucky Brown35370.310.190.120.02108214.715.2-0.5313.914.7-0.80
Ricky Davis49480.170.33-0.160.05414-1014.115.9-1.8415.213.61.69
David Wesley69690.080.42-0.35-0.07513-814.715.7-0.9813.915.6-1.65
Charles Shackleford43420.060.44-0.38-0.03315-1215.314.80.4615.213.81.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 87, DEN 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
TOR 75, ATL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
TOR 72, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.1%