NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	72		Excitement	4.7 [855]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +12.4%
New York Knicks	88		Comeback	1.3 [785]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -20.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	20	46%	0.01	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	8	59%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	8	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Alvin Williams	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.05	-0.03	13	14%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	11	76%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	17	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	16	33%	-0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.6	30.1	15.8	27.1	1.8	25.3	127.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.2%

NYK +18.4%

TOR -7.5%

NYK +13.6%

TOR -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	17.4	15.5	85.7	104.8	100.9
season	15.8	16.4		103.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.9	17.5	14.7	17.9	16.9
NYK	17.2	14.6	16.6	22.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	2	3	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-15	14	14.5	17.0	-2.49	22.7	17.2	5.51
Jerome Williams	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-9	2	14.7	19.4	-4.72	17.9	16.8	1.03
Alvin Williams	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-11	6	19.7	13.4	6.25	15.8	19.3	-3.52
Charles Oakley	63	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-10	4	18.1	13.3	4.79	15.9	21.6	-5.74
Tracy Murray	24	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-8	0	15.8	17.4	-1.59	20.9	16.0	4.84
Antonio Davis	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-4	-8	18.4	14.5	3.87	16.6	18.7	-2.04
Chris Childs	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-3	-10	13.9	20.3	-6.39	18.9	15.7	3.16
Morris Peterson	42	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-7	-2	17.5	16.4	1.05	16.9	17.9	-1.02
Keon Clark	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-6	-4	14.7	18.4	-3.63	19.5	16.0	3.55
Vince Carter	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-7	-2	17.4	14.7	2.69	16.9	19.2	-2.26

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	18.3	13.5	4.87	17.9	13.2	4.72
Marcus Camby	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	5	6	16.7	18.6	-1.93	16.7	17.3	-0.64
Allan Houston	58	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	16.9	18.3	-1.38	19.1	12.4	6.61
Mark Jackson	46	48	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	9	-2	17.5	17.2	0.32	15.8	18.5	-2.70
Latrell Sprewell	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	10	-4	17.9	14.9	2.95	15.8	22.0	-6.17
Glen Rice	46	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	5	6	16.9	17.9	-1.08	16.1	18.1	-2.02
Othella Harrington	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	17.3	17.4	-0.12	15.9	17.8	-1.88
Charlie Ward	38	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	7	2	17.2	17.5	-0.32	18.5	15.8	2.70
Travis Knight	2	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	18	-20	9.0	17.6	-8.56	7.5	17.2	-9.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 78, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BOS 87, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
NYK 85, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.1%