inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 78 Excitement5.1 [785] MVPSteve Nash (DAL): +6.0%
Phoenix Suns 99 Comeback1.6 [929] LVPMichael Finley (DAL): -22.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.01-0.031168%0.143-0.08683%0.00
Loy Vaught0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00367%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Howard Eisley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.05-0.00-0.05567%0.034-0.032100%0.01
Bill Curley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02233%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Hubert Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.090,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.020.03367%-0.023-0.0700%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00833%-0.081-0.022100%0.01
Christian Laettner-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.030.01280%0.014-0.1210%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.12-0.04-0.001642%-0.074-0.084100%0.01
Michael Finley-0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.20-0.04-0.011621%-0.182-0.05250%-0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.010.041459%0.041-0.0310%-0.02
Chris Dudley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Garces0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Elie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.03540%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00390%0.063-0.07475%-0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.020.011851%0.043-0.051100%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.041058%0.024-0.05683%0.01
Paul McPherson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04555%-0.0300.0010%-0.01
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.000.031754%0.033-0.0610%-0.02
Clifford Robinson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.16-0.01-0.001042%-0.046-0.14450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.425.415.726.51.628.7128.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +33.9%
DAL -3.4%
PHX +6.5%
PHX +8.2%
PHX +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALPHXNBADALPHXNBA
this game15.013.715.577.2100.0100.9
season15.214.9104.697.7
opponent15.415.396.2101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.015.717.513.215.0
PHX13.213.113.015.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bill Curley440.00-0.500.500.21-7-1479.015.3-6.3013.213.8-0.51
Courtney Alexander2019-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-12312.315.7-3.3713.113.9-0.78
Christian Laettner2222-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-201914.415.2-0.8211.914.3-2.41
Loy Vaught2726-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-181516.414.61.8013.713.7-0.01
Howard Eisley4543-0.15-0.350.190.17-11-10-113.316.4-3.1015.112.72.48
Eduardo Najera2522-0.16-0.340.180.25-14-7-712.116.0-3.8914.413.50.86
Greg Buckner7170-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-161115.314.60.6913.514.2-0.66
Hubert Davis5251-0.23-0.270.040.27-17-4-1314.815.3-0.5413.514.0-0.43
Shawn Bradley2020-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.12-5-161117.514.43.1215.013.41.58
Michael Finley6868-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-161116.312.53.7614.112.91.17
Steve Nash7877-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.13-12-9-315.513.51.9813.514.5-0.98
Dirk Nowitzki7373-0.560.06-0.61-0.09-16-5-1115.613.71.8513.314.8-1.50

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Marion86880.57-0.070.65-0.1926-53113.217.3-4.1115.412.92.44
Mario Elie64640.470.030.440.03156914.113.11.0115.314.50.80
Rodney Rogers58620.340.160.180.021110114.312.91.3815.115.00.08
Jason Kidd75750.290.210.070.14516-1113.514.4-0.9015.713.12.66
Clifford Robinson62620.280.220.060.04813-513.114.8-1.7615.314.70.62
Daniel Santiago47490.250.25-0.000.01813-513.514.0-0.4715.414.70.74
Paul McPherson33330.150.35-0.20-0.20129314.313.50.8013.715.7-2.01
Tony Delk58610.140.36-0.21-0.24138514.412.81.5914.016.6-2.61
Chris Dudley870.010.49-0.480.01021-2114.413.70.6914.915.1-0.21
Ruben Garces440.000.50-0.50-0.21714-713.213.8-0.519.015.3-6.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 86, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
TOR 72, NYK 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,195.2%
BOS 95, ATL 1050.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%