NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	86		Excitement	5.2 [777]		MVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): +11.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.6 [733]		LVP	P.J. Brown (CHH): -19.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Bryce Drew	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	77%	0.12	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	15	57%	-0.00	7	-0.16	7	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	10	20%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	12	72%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tim James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damone Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	45%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	13	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	39%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	26	51%	0.01	5	-0.09	13	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	30.1	14.7	27.2	2.4	30.6	130.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +19.2%

PHI +15.5%

PHI +2.5%

PHI +12.8%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	PHI	NBA	CHH	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.6	90.5	106.4	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		102.2	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.7	13.7	13.3	15.7	14.1
PHI	17.0	16.3	16.7	15.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	42	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-16	18	12.3	15.5	-3.14	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Bryce Drew	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-10	6	13.1	14.3	-1.19	14.5	16.7	-2.25
Robert Traylor	24	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-10	6	12.7	14.5	-1.84	14.6	17.0	-2.40
Lee Nailon	27	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-9	4	14.6	13.9	0.76	16.0	16.6	-0.52
Stacey Augmon	33	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-11	8	13.2	14.6	-1.38	13.8	17.6	-3.83
David Wesley	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-3	-8	14.6	13.2	1.38	17.6	13.8	3.83
P.J. Brown	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	14.5	12.7	1.84	17.0	14.6	2.40
Jamal Mashburn	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	14.4	12.8	1.55	16.7	15.1	1.69
Elden Campbell	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-1	-12	15.2	13.1	2.09	16.8	16.1	0.71
Baron Davis	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	14.1	14.1	0.01	16.7	14.5	2.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	58	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	1	12	16.7	16.0	0.66	14.5	13.4	1.14
Dikembe Mutombo	84	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	7	0	16.3	17.1	-0.78	14.0	15.3	-1.38
Allen Iverson	81	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	5	4	16.5	15.7	0.83	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Speedy Claxton	71	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	5	4	17.2	14.1	3.07	14.8	11.6	3.19
Derrick Coleman	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	6	2	17.2	14.6	2.68	14.6	12.8	1.81
Corie Blount	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	7	0	15.5	16.9	-1.42	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Vonteego Cummings	34	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	14.8	17.3	-2.52	12.5	14.9	-2.40
Tim James	22	21	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	9	-4	16.7	16.3	0.36	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Damone Brown	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	11	-8	12.5	16.5	-3.99	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Alvin Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	11	-8	12.5	16.5	-3.99	13.0	14.1	-1.10
Raja Bell	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	15	-16	14.6	16.8	-2.14	12.3	14.4	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAS 86, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.2%