inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 86 Excitement4.1 [1027] MVPTony Allen (MEM): +6.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 104 Comeback1.9 [501] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -7.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Neal0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.05669%0.0300.004100%0.00
George Hill0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00762%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Tony Parker0.000,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.030.011282%0.177-0.174100%0.02
Manu Ginobili0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.001350%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Steve Novak0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.000.02953%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00536%-0.021-0.0310%-0.01
Richard Jefferson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.0240%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.030.00743%-0.012-0.0700%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.001055%0.0700.002100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.03-0.01-0.041050%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.051070%0.0500.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.010.004112%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.011547%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.010.04575%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01564%0.041-0.03475%-0.00
Leon Powe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.00758%0.043-0.085100%0.02
Sam Young0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.010.04744%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.83.330.418.730.33.727.2138.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +6.4%
MEM +6.9%
MEM +11.4%
MEM +23.5%
MEM +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game15.716.715.596.6116.9105.7
season15.515.5109.3106.1
opponent15.515.2103.7103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.116.918.214.715.7
MEM19.015.913.918.016.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Novak1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-202210.216.5-6.2817.516.50.95
DeJuan Blair1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-202210.216.5-6.2817.516.50.95
Danny Green1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-202210.216.5-6.2817.516.50.95
Matt Bonner3332-0.03-0.470.440.09-4-141015.415.9-0.4615.717.2-1.49
Gary Neal3534-0.16-0.340.180.07-8-10215.216.0-0.8017.116.40.77
Antonio McDyess3334-0.19-0.310.13-0.07-4-141016.815.01.8018.215.72.43
Manu Ginobili5454-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-12616.314.81.5116.716.60.17
Richard Jefferson5051-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-12-6-616.015.30.7616.017.6-1.58
Tim Duncan5352-0.31-0.19-0.110.08-13-5-816.115.10.9217.815.12.68
Tony Parker5755-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-9-9016.913.43.5117.116.01.09
Tiago Splitter4243-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-14-4-1015.016.3-1.3014.818.5-3.69
George Hill5554-0.570.07-0.640.19-268-3416.813.92.8216.017.7-1.62

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.J. Mayo34350.430.070.35-0.011531214.717.9-3.1917.014.92.12
Marc Gasol65630.370.130.23-0.01135817.414.72.6315.915.20.75
Zach Randolph55560.350.150.20-0.00126617.315.71.5216.813.73.11
Greivis Vasquez25270.350.150.20-0.061441013.817.8-3.9415.615.7-0.13
Shane Battier48470.270.230.04-0.201621415.917.6-1.6416.115.20.89
Tony Allen48480.210.29-0.08-0.14126618.414.63.8316.215.01.23
Darrell Arthur32320.200.30-0.10-0.18135815.617.3-1.6416.615.21.47
Mike Conley66640.160.34-0.170.05414-1017.813.54.3116.015.00.95
Hamed Haddadi19200.080.42-0.340.02216-1414.617.2-2.6612.916.5-3.59
Sam Young39390.080.42-0.340.17-321-2417.216.30.9514.316.8-2.45
Leon Powe770.000.50-0.500.12-422-2616.016.7-0.738.116.3-8.19
Ish Smith770.000.50-0.500.12-422-2616.016.7-0.738.116.3-8.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, MIN 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
ATL 83, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
CHH 86, PHI 1000.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%