NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	4.8 [852]		MVP	Gary Trent (MIN): +7.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	111		Comeback	1.5 [731]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -15.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.06	5	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.03	11	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	12	39%	-0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	18	43%	-0.09	3	-0.06	6	67%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.03	0.06	15	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	18	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.00	4	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	26.0	16.6	26.2	2.0	30.0	125.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +46.1%

POR -1.5%

MIN +0.8%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	109.2	127.6	101.6
season	16.0	14.9		104.3	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		102.3	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	19.9	17.5	13.3	16.5
MIN	17.4	16.1	16.0	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	39	40	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.10	-3	-13	10	14.9	17.9	-3.02	16.4	16.7	-0.30
Qyntel Woods	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	10.7	17.5	-6.72	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Antonio Daniels	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-15	14	15.1	17.1	-2.03	16.9	16.4	0.42
Arvydas Sabonis	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-17	18	14.6	18.1	-3.48	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Derek Anderson	61	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-14	12	16.0	17.9	-1.97	16.0	17.7	-1.75
Jeff McInnis	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-11	6	13.8	19.0	-5.17	16.5	16.6	-0.10
Zach Randolph	28	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-15	14	14.6	17.5	-2.85	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Damon Stoudamire	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-6	-4	19.0	13.3	5.73	16.8	16.3	0.49
Dale Davis	48	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-1	-14	18.0	14.8	3.21	16.9	16.1	0.77
Rasheed Wallace	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.19	-17	1	-18	17.5	14.3	3.20	17.0	15.7	1.30
Ruben Patterson	44	44	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.16	-24	8	-32	19.2	13.8	5.39	17.2	15.9	1.25

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-5	26	16.3	17.6	-1.25	16.9	15.0	1.94
Wally Szczerbiak	72	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	0	16	16.3	17.6	-1.25	16.6	16.5	0.09
Joe Smith	32	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	7	2	16.5	16.6	-0.10	19.7	14.5	5.15
Anthony Peeler	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	7	2	16.4	16.8	-0.47	15.6	17.7	-2.13
Mike Wilks	35	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	6	4	16.5	16.6	-0.08	14.7	17.7	-3.01
Gary Trent	26	24	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	12	-8	17.2	16.3	0.95	19.3	15.5	3.80
Troy Hudson	52	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	10	-4	16.6	16.5	0.08	17.7	14.7	3.01
Marc Jackson	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	9	-2	16.6	16.5	0.10	14.5	19.7	-5.15
Kendall Gill	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	16	-16	17.0	16.1	0.92	16.9	16.2	0.67
Igor Rakocevic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	24.0	16.5	7.52	1.0	16.7	-15.72
Loren Woods	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	16.2	16.6	-0.33	7.0	17.1	-10.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, OKC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SEA 80, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SAS 86, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%