NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	80		Excitement	5.2 [752]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +12.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	2.3 [738]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -15.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	13	66%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	55%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.02	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Vin Baker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	20	30%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.04	-0.04	13	58%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	17	58%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.06	4	90%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	58%	0.03	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	16	25%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.1	15.6	21.4	2.7	26.2	122.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.6%

SEA -4.4%

POR +5.6%

POR +15.6%

POR +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	17.0	15.5	88.9	106.6	100.9
season	15.2	15.8		103.8	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		100.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	16.1	14.7	13.3	14.9
POR	18.1	17.4	15.3	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-16	15	18.6	14.4	4.11	19.8	16.6	3.13
Vin Baker	52	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-14	11	14.9	14.8	0.11	17.2	16.7	0.47
Emanual Davis	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-14	11	14.6	15.0	-0.38	17.2	16.8	0.45
Jelani McCoy	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-13	9	14.4	15.1	-0.67	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Shammond Williams	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-7	-3	14.8	14.9	-0.17	18.2	16.1	2.11
Gary Payton	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-10	3	14.9	14.8	0.17	16.1	18.2	-2.11
Brent Barry	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-3	-11	15.0	14.6	0.38	16.8	17.2	-0.45
Desmond Mason	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	-1	-15	14.7	15.0	-0.29	17.3	16.6	0.66
Patrick Ewing	62	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-8	-1	15.0	14.5	0.52	16.7	17.5	-0.80
Rashard Lewis	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	1	-19	14.5	16.5	-2.00	16.5	18.8	-2.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-1	19	16.7	17.7	-1.00	14.5	15.8	-1.36
Bonzi Wells	73	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	1	15	17.1	16.6	0.50	14.4	16.8	-2.35
Steven Smith	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.09	17	0	17	16.9	17.1	-0.27	15.2	14.1	1.16
Stacey Augmon	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	7	3	16.6	17.6	-0.98	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Dale Davis	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	10	-3	16.6	18.1	-1.57	15.1	14.1	1.00
Arvydas Sabonis	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.13	11	6	5	17.1	16.8	0.30	15.1	14.6	0.53
Shawn Kemp	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	14	-11	16.8	17.1	-0.26	15.4	14.5	0.85
Detlef Schrempf	29	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.10	4	13	-9	18.5	16.2	2.24	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Greg Anthony	25	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	18	-19	17.7	16.7	1.00	15.8	14.5	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
IND 103, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 99, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%