NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	5.6 [544]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): +17.2%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.6 [452]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): -13.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	8	80%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	74%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Malcolm Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	16	41%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	20	46%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Darko Milicic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	13	46%	-0.03	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.00	10	82%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	6	87%	0.16	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	20	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Tyler Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	14	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	9	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	26.2	15.0	29.8	1.7	25.2	122.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.1%

MIN -2.4%

MIN -3.0%

SAC +25.7%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	15.6	96.1	111.7	102.8
season	15.3	14.9		102.6	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		107.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	14.3	15.0	14.1	14.4
SAC	12.3	12.4	12.1	17.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Lee	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	12.4	14.6	-2.15	23.7	12.9	10.78
Anthony Tolliver	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	12.4	14.6	-2.15	23.7	12.9	10.78
Darko Milicic	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-16	16	16.3	14.2	2.13	10.9	13.9	-2.99
Wayne Ellington	15	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-12	8	12.5	14.8	-2.24	19.9	12.3	7.60
Wesley Johnson	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-13	10	14.9	13.8	1.11	11.9	16.1	-4.23
Jose Juan Barea	32	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	-7	-2	13.5	14.9	-1.37	14.1	13.3	0.84
Luke Ridnour	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	15.1	13.4	1.71	12.3	15.6	-3.31
Martell Webster	74	72	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.0	13.0	2.01	12.2	16.6	-4.39
Kevin Love	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	14.8	13.7	1.05	12.7	15.4	-2.68
Derrick Williams	69	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	13.6	16.1	-2.49	14.9	10.7	4.15
Michael Beasley	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-1	-14	13.7	15.3	-1.58	15.3	11.5	3.73
Anthony Randolph	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-4	-8	14.8	14.1	0.73	12.2	14.6	-2.41

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	87	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	3	10	12.8	17.2	-4.35	14.7	12.9	1.80
Jason Thompson	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	8	0	12.4	15.0	-2.51	14.8	14.0	0.71
Charles Hayes	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	3	10	15.1	11.5	3.64	13.5	15.6	-2.06
John Salmons	75	77	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.10	7	9	-2	12.3	16.7	-4.35	14.4	14.6	-0.17
Isaiah Thomas	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	10	-4	12.5	15.0	-2.47	14.8	13.9	0.91
Jimmer Fredette	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	15.0	12.5	2.47	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Travis Outlaw	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	7	2	16.5	11.9	4.55	13.9	14.7	-0.76
DeMarcus Cousins	46	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	13	-10	11.5	15.1	-3.64	15.6	13.5	2.06
Donte Greene	44	45	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.11	8	8	0	15.0	12.4	2.51	14.0	14.8	-0.71
Tyler Honeycutt	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	13	-10	18.6	13.1	5.54	13.9	14.5	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	95.3%
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
PHX 108, DEN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1	95.1%