NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	5.9 [599]		MVP	Brooks Thompson (DEN): +26.4%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.4 [843]		LVP	Hot Rod Williams (PHX): -11.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	15	63%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.04	17	76%	0.16	4	-0.11	11	82%	0.03
Rex Chapman	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	16	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Kleine	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,0.06,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.03	17	76%	0.35	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	72%	0.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.03	21	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Sarunas Marciulionis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	14	43%	-0.01	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	25.5	15.4	23.6	2.5	33.5	125.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +49.8%

PHX -0.9%

DEN +14.9%

PHX -13.1%

PHX -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	12.9	15.3	15.6	105.9	114.7	104.4
season	14.6	15.2		106.8	102.3
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.0	13.8	14.0	11.9	12.9
DEN	15.7	15.6	13.7	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Kleine	44	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-7	5	13.9	12.2	1.70	14.3	16.0	-1.75
A.C. Green	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-5	1	13.3	12.8	0.53	13.8	15.7	-1.95
Kevin Johnson	78	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-13	17	12.8	13.4	-0.62	14.6	17.7	-3.10
Hot Rod Williams	45	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-10	11	11.7	13.9	-2.16	16.8	14.1	2.75
Robert Horry	44	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	12.1	13.6	-1.50	18.0	13.2	4.76
Wesley Person	75	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-9	9	12.3	14.8	-2.50	15.4	15.0	0.45
Rex Chapman	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-7	5	12.2	14.3	-2.09	15.1	15.6	-0.44
Danny Manning	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	3	-15	14.5	11.8	2.73	14.0	16.2	-2.12
Steve Nash	29	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	4	-17	13.2	12.8	0.37	16.2	15.0	1.22
Michael Finley	63	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	5	-19	14.1	11.1	3.06	14.9	15.9	-1.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	63	60	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-6	21	15.3	15.3	0.02	13.3	12.5	0.83
Dale Ellis	100	100	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.3	17.0	-1.74	12.9	16.0	-3.12
Brooks Thompson	52	52	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	15.9	14.6	1.28	12.1	13.8	-1.65
Antonio McDyess	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	2	5	15.9	14.2	1.61	13.1	12.6	0.55
Ervin Johnson	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	0	9	14.6	16.6	-1.99	13.3	12.3	0.98
Tom Hammonds	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	7	-5	15.4	15.0	0.42	12.4	14.1	-1.69
Mark Jackson	50	50	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	11	-13	14.6	15.9	-1.28	13.8	12.1	1.65
Darvin Ham	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	10	-11	20.0	14.8	5.16	12.2	13.0	-0.82
Jeff McInnis	10	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	12.4	15.6	-3.21	13.5	12.9	0.62
Sarunas Marciulionis	22	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	11	-13	14.8	15.4	-0.61	12.4	13.1	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
HOU 77, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%