NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	5.6 [702]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): +14.1%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.8 [1018]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.08	12	77%	0.05	4	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Tarik Black	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.03	6	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.01	12	92%	0.25	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.05	-0.05	11	59%	0.18	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	15	73%	0.19	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.05	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.6	31.4	17.6	25.0	2.8	32.3	140.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.7%

LAL -0.9%

LAL -10.0%

PHX +17.6%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.2	15.1	100.0	113.9	104.2
season	15.5	14.4		101.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.7		104.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.5	15.6	14.7	14.2	15.5
PHX	12.5	12.7	11.5	16.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	38	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-19	23	15.1	15.7	-0.69	13.7	12.9	0.75
Jeremy Lin	63	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-11	7	14.3	17.5	-3.27	14.2	11.4	2.71
Wayne Ellington	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-8	1	16.0	15.0	0.94	12.3	14.0	-1.67
Tarik Black	44	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-11	7	16.4	14.7	1.66	12.5	13.7	-1.26
Ed Davis	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	15.0	15.9	-0.99	12.7	13.7	-0.99
Carlos Boozer	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	15.9	15.0	0.99	13.7	12.7	0.99
Jordan Hill	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	-4	-7	14.7	16.4	-1.66	13.7	12.5	1.26
Nick Young	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	15.0	16.0	-0.94	14.0	12.3	1.67
Jordan Clarkson	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-4	-7	17.5	14.3	3.27	11.4	14.2	-2.71
Wesley Johnson	62	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	4	-23	15.7	15.1	0.69	12.9	13.7	-0.75

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	7	1	13.3	13.1	0.21	15.4	15.6	-0.23
Goran Dragic	78	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.22	21	-6	27	13.3	12.8	0.47	15.1	16.7	-1.56
Marcus Morris	39	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	8	-1	12.5	13.6	-1.10	16.6	14.8	1.81
Isaiah Thomas	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.00	9	6	3	13.4	12.8	0.64	15.6	15.3	0.31
Gerald Green	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.20	1	14	-13	12.7	13.5	-0.73	15.5	15.4	0.12
Brandan Wright	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	14	-13	13.0	13.4	-0.45	15.0	15.9	-0.92
PJ Tucker	61	60	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	3	9	13.5	12.6	0.89	14.9	16.3	-1.41
Alex Len	42	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	10	-5	12.3	13.8	-1.50	15.6	15.4	0.20
Markieff Morris	55	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	7	1	14.2	12.0	2.18	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Miles Plumlee	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	12	-9	12.2	13.3	-1.10	19.4	14.9	4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NYK 79, ATL 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1	95.3%
SAC 82, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%