NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	5.1 [805]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (DAL): +25.2%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	2.5 [281]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -13.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.02	0.00	9	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Paul George	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	16	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	3	90%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.04	9	64%	0.06	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.04
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.09	-0.01	17	66%	0.25	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.03	-0.03	16	65%	0.24	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.02	6	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	8	24%	-0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	29.3	14.8	28.6	2.0	33.3	131.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +40.6%

IND -13.0%

DAL +5.1%

DAL +16.6%

DAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	14.8	112.0	122.0	107.7
season	14.9	16.2		107.5	104.4
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.3	15.2	15.8	14.8	14.8
DAL	15.5	15.4	16.2	20.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	18	16	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-10	12	14.7	14.8	-0.06	14.1	17.3	-3.22
CJ Miles	53	54	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.27	10	-18	28	14.8	14.7	0.09	16.8	16.5	0.29
Aaron Brooks	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	16.4	13.9	2.46	13.7	18.2	-4.55
Al Jefferson	34	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-11	14	16.0	14.0	1.99	14.0	18.3	-4.29
Rodney Stuckey	52	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.33	9	-17	26	14.9	14.6	0.35	16.9	16.4	0.53
Monta Ellis	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	6	-20	14.5	15.0	-0.49	16.5	16.9	-0.38
Myles Turner	58	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	3	-14	14.0	16.0	-1.99	18.3	14.0	4.29
Jeff Teague	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	5	-18	13.9	16.1	-2.21	18.3	14.1	4.15
Thaddeus Young	39	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	10	-28	14.7	14.8	-0.09	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Paul George	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	2	-12	14.8	14.7	0.06	17.3	14.1	3.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	62	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-5	18	17.4	15.2	2.26	15.1	14.0	1.13
Harrison Barnes	71	72	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-6	20	16.7	16.6	0.08	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Salah Mejri	51	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-9	26	16.9	16.5	0.34	15.3	14.0	1.28
Wesley Matthews	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	4	0	17.7	14.0	3.74	14.6	15.3	-0.75
Dorian Finney-Smith	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	17.9	14.4	3.53	14.6	15.1	-0.45
Seth Curry	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	3	2	15.5	18.0	-2.49	15.4	14.1	1.22
Nicolas Brussino	24	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	4	0	14.0	17.7	-3.74	15.3	14.6	0.75
Dwight Powell	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.28	-9	17	-26	16.5	16.9	-0.34	14.0	15.3	-1.28
Devin Harris	33	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.13	-12	20	-32	14.8	17.8	-2.93	14.3	15.1	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 80, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ORL 93, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%