inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 100 Excitement5.7 [736] MVPBuddy Hield (SAC): +15.9%
Sacramento Kings 116 Comeback2.2 [915] LVPLuka Doncic (DAL): -16.9%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Broekhoff0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.110.03-0.02693%0.1610.00250%0.00
Dwight Powell0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.11-0.000.02678%0.0900.00683%0.01
Devin Harris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.01373%0.0800.005100%0.03
Courtney Lee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Jackson-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.020.031658%0.011-0.0110%-0.02
Maxi Kleber-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01550%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Salah Mejri-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02420%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Trey Burke-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.03-0.031237%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jalen Brunson-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.011238%-0.061-0.0320%-0.04
Luka Doncic-0.170,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.11-0.050.011930%-0.141-0.03560%-0.02

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.190.010.042166%0.1600.002100%0.01
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.030.041659%0.111-0.03560%-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.02859%0.0610.0010%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.011057%0.093-0.06875%-0.01
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.00-0.021350%0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00375%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.02656%0.072-0.044100%0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Harry Giles III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00939%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.52.430.214.726.31.732.2134.9
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +45.1%
SAC +6.0%
SAC +12.6%
DAL -12.5%
DAL -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSACNBADALSACNBA
this game16.113.014.3101.0117.2109.3
season14.713.3108.5109.2
opponent14.314.1110.5109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.414.918.515.516.1
SAC14.013.811.512.813.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Burke38410.15-0.650.79-0.1811-273814.816.9-2.0814.112.31.80
Devin Harris38410.09-0.590.68-0.2010-263616.915.61.2913.512.70.84
Dirk Nowitzki25270.04-0.540.59-0.105-212616.815.80.9812.513.2-0.69
Courtney Lee77-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-15149.916.5-6.6915.912.83.05
Dorian Finney-Smith2020-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-171817.315.81.5414.812.62.29
Ryan Broekhoff3436-0.08-0.420.33-0.080-161615.516.4-0.8213.212.90.32
Salah Mejri1818-0.21-0.290.070.05-9-7-212.716.8-4.1614.612.71.94
Dwight Powell6160-0.37-0.13-0.250.04-14-2-1217.314.13.1512.613.7-1.11
Justin Jackson6968-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.10-10-6-415.916.5-0.6212.813.4-0.58
Maxi Kleber7068-0.47-0.03-0.430.15-215-2615.716.9-1.1712.713.7-0.96
Luka Doncic5653-0.530.03-0.550.15-237-3016.615.41.1112.413.7-1.34
Jalen Brunson5956-0.710.21-0.910.14-2913-4216.715.21.4612.114.2-2.06

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nemanja Bjelica56560.67-0.170.840.0621-52612.813.3-0.5416.815.21.61
Buddy Hield72730.61-0.110.73-0.0924-83213.212.60.5916.116.00.04
De'Aaron Fox67690.54-0.040.57-0.2025-93412.713.6-0.8916.415.21.25
Harrison Barnes70700.500.000.49-0.0318-22012.614.0-1.3916.215.80.39
Willie Cauley-Stein66670.430.070.370.021421213.112.90.1215.916.5-0.59
Bogdan Bogdanovic4241-0.010.51-0.510.11-420-2413.512.70.8315.816.3-0.50
Marvin Bagley III5958-0.010.51-0.52-0.04115-1412.913.1-0.2215.317.2-1.92
Yogi Ferrell3230-0.040.54-0.570.23-925-3413.612.70.8915.216.4-1.25
Harry Giles III1515-0.070.57-0.630.02-319-2213.013.0-0.0218.015.72.27
Corey Brewer1616-0.130.63-0.770.07-723-3013.812.90.9515.716.1-0.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 95, MIL 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
CLE 82, POR 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SEA 83, UTA 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,194.7%