NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	5.4 [742]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +13.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.9 [660]		LVP	Jalen Rose (IND): -17.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	11	64%	-0.04
Jonathan Bender	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	15	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	61%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	13	32%	-0.10	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	16	28%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	78%	0.13	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	63%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	9	50%	0.04	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	17	49%	0.00	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	29.6	14.0	29.2	1.7	28.4	131.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.0%

MIL +1.4%

IND -3.7%

MIL +4.2%

MIL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.5	15.6	92.2	111.7	102.3
season	15.3	15.3		101.6	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	14.1	15.2	14.3	14.4
MIL	13.6	15.3	12.5	12.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-25	30	13.4	14.8	-1.41	13.9	13.4	0.56
Carlos Rogers	10	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-23	26	11.3	14.8	-3.46	12.3	13.6	-1.32
Bruno Sundov	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	11.1	14.8	-3.68	13.3	13.6	-0.26
Jamison Brewer	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	9.2	14.8	-5.59	14.3	13.5	0.85
Jonathan Bender	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-23	26	13.6	14.7	-1.14	13.1	13.7	-0.52
Travis Best	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-15	10	15.1	14.1	0.98	13.8	13.4	0.39
Jalen Rose	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.17	-14	-6	-8	14.6	14.1	0.46	13.3	14.1	-0.75
Al Harrington	75	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-5	-10	15.0	12.9	2.06	13.6	13.3	0.26
Jamaal Tinsley	53	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.29	-20	0	-20	14.7	14.1	0.56	13.4	13.7	-0.34
Austin Croshere	43	43	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	-6	-8	14.4	14.4	0.03	13.5	13.6	-0.12
Jermaine O'Neal	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.20	-25	5	-30	15.0	12.9	2.03	13.6	13.4	0.19
Reggie Miller	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.16	-24	4	-28	14.6	13.8	0.88	13.7	12.9	0.82

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	3	14	13.4	13.9	-0.49	15.1	12.7	2.40
Anthony Mason	56	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	7	6	13.3	13.8	-0.43	15.1	13.6	1.47
Ray Allen	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	1	18	13.0	14.1	-1.12	15.2	13.6	1.61
Glenn Robinson	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	12	-4	13.9	12.6	1.32	15.1	12.7	2.44
Joel Przybilla	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	15	-10	13.4	13.6	-0.24	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Darvin Ham	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	9	2	13.3	13.8	-0.52	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Tim Thomas	66	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	9	2	14.0	12.8	1.21	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Michael Redd	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	8	4	13.8	13.4	0.46	13.1	15.2	-2.13
Ervin Johnson	36	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.25	10	10	0	13.7	13.4	0.25	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Mark Pope	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.3	13.6	-0.26	11.1	14.8	-3.68
Rafer Alston	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.3	13.6	-0.26	11.1	14.8	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	95.3%
CHA 85, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%