NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	5.0 [826]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +21.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.8 [913]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -11.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.00	-0.00	17	67%	0.18	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Johan Petro	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ronald Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Robert Swift	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.02	-0.05	25	65%	0.26	5	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.03	-0.02	9	90%	0.17	1	0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.00	9	85%	0.17	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	55%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.9	2.6	30.3	15.6	28.7	2.0	35.3	133.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.0%

PHI +7.7%

SEA -2.2%

PHI +7.9%

SEA -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	17.7	15.6	112.6	124.4	104.4
season	15.0	15.2		108.9	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.8		106.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.2	18.0	14.1	13.7	15.6
PHI	17.9	18.0	15.9	19.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-8	7	20.0	15.0	4.99	20.5	17.2	3.31
Damien Wilkins	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	16.9	14.9	2.05	19.2	16.8	2.44
Johan Petro	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	15.7	15.6	0.05	16.9	18.1	-1.17
Reggie Evans	23	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-8	7	15.4	15.7	-0.28	16.4	18.1	-1.68
Ronald Murray	54	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	15.8	15.5	0.30	18.5	16.4	2.02
Robert Swift	22	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	4	-17	17.9	14.9	3.03	17.3	17.8	-0.43
Vladimir Radmanovic	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-7	5	14.9	18.9	-3.96	17.4	18.9	-1.57
Luke Ridnour	49	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-1	-7	15.2	16.2	-1.01	17.6	17.7	-0.12
Rashard Lewis	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	15.4	16.2	-0.78	17.6	17.8	-0.22
Ray Allen	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	14.9	21.1	-6.16	17.2	21.3	-4.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	78	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-4	17	17.2	22.1	-4.92	15.2	19.6	-4.36
Allen Iverson	82	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	17.2	28.0	-10.84	15.5	20.3	-4.86
John Salmons	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	18.0	15.8	2.24	15.5	16.5	-1.05
Samuel Dalembert	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-5	19	17.3	18.4	-1.03	15.0	17.1	-2.04
Kyle Korver	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	17.6	17.8	-0.20	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Steven Hunter	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	17.9	17.6	0.35	17.3	15.0	2.28
Matt Barnes	27	27	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	16	-23	19.1	17.0	2.17	16.9	15.1	1.86
Kevin Ollie	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	19.6	17.3	2.30	17.8	15.2	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
SEA 93, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%