NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	4.8 [838]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +17.6%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	2.0 [621]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -17.4%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	85%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.06	14	77%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Lazaro Borrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	29	41%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	18	26%	-0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.02	0.02	32	64%	0.20	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	8	47%	0.02	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	32.2	18.8	28.0	2.8	30.3	141.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.2%

UTA +10.6%

SEA -2.4%

UTA +16.0%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.2	100.0	114.3	101.7
season	14.9	16.3		103.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	14.6	15.6	14.4	14.9
UTA	15.0	17.5	16.4	16.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lazaro Borrell	29	27	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-14	17	16.0	14.4	1.62	14.7	17.2	-2.47
Ruben Patterson	22	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	12.9	15.5	-2.64	19.2	15.7	3.54
Greg Foster	28	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-6	1	14.5	15.0	-0.55	17.3	16.1	1.17
Jelani McCoy	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	16.1	14.6	1.44	14.9	16.8	-1.82
Brent Barry	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	13.8	16.8	-2.91	17.6	14.1	3.50
Vin Baker	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.1	-1.85	17.1	14.9	2.21
Horace Grant	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-11	11	15.1	14.5	0.63	16.4	16.5	-0.12
Shammond Williams	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-7	3	15.5	13.4	2.08	15.4	18.8	-3.39
Gary Payton	93	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.9	0.0	14.88	16.4	0.0	16.44
Rashard Lewis	31	31	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	6	-23	16.4	14.1	2.26	14.7	17.3	-2.62

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	63	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.04	22	-11	33	15.2	19.2	-4.06	16.2	11.7	4.53
Karl Malone	82	84	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	16.0	20.0	-3.95	15.2	11.9	3.31
Jeff Hornacek	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	16.1	17.3	-1.27	15.4	13.7	1.72
Bryon Russell	68	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	4	3	16.7	15.6	1.17	15.7	12.3	3.48
Greg Ostertag	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	4	3	16.8	16.0	0.77	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Olden Polynice	32	33	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	15.7	16.8	-1.06	16.1	14.2	1.92
Scott Padgett	7	7	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	4	3	15.0	16.6	-1.56	13.1	15.0	-1.88
Armen Gilliam	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	10	-9	18.4	15.9	2.44	12.7	15.4	-2.76
Jacque Vaughn	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	12	-13	17.4	16.3	1.03	10.9	15.3	-4.42
Quincy Lewis	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	15.8	16.6	-0.76	11.9	15.5	-3.63
Howard Eisley	47	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	20	-29	18.5	14.3	4.20	13.0	16.8	-3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 80, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 114, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%