NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	83		Excitement	4.9 [829]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (LAL): +10.3%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	1.9 [305]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Crispin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Devean George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	19	50%	-0.08	4	-0.07	18	44%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	13	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.03	5	-0.09	7	86%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	19	46%	0.02	5	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.5	15.4	25.4	2.5	33.2	128.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.4%

LAL -4.5%

PHX +14.3%

PHX +0.9%

PHX +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	94.3	103.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.1		106.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	15.5	17.8	14.5	16.0
PHX	17.0	15.8	15.0	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	14	16	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-19	26	17.4	15.8	1.60	18.2	15.5	2.66
Joe Crispin	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	19.5	15.9	3.57	16.5	16.0	0.52
Mitch Richmond	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-10	8	16.9	15.7	1.15	17.8	15.5	2.38
Devean George	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.14	1	-13	14	16.2	15.9	0.30	17.0	15.2	1.88
Brian Shaw	29	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-8	4	15.3	16.4	-1.10	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Robert Horry	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-10	8	14.8	18.0	-3.23	15.8	16.3	-0.57
Lindsey Hunter	61	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	15.7	16.6	-0.89	15.6	16.8	-1.20
Shaquille O'Neal	68	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	1	-14	15.7	16.9	-1.15	16.1	15.5	0.66
Rick Fox	39	40	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	0	-12	16.8	15.4	1.41	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Samaki Walker	36	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	4	-20	17.8	14.8	2.99	14.9	16.8	-1.86
Kobe Bryant	77	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.01	-18	6	-24	15.7	18.0	-2.27	16.0	15.6	0.44

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	77	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-2	16	15.7	17.5	-1.77	16.4	14.2	2.18
Stephon Marbury	79	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	0	12	15.8	17.1	-1.27	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Tom Gugliotta	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	0	12	16.0	15.9	0.12	16.7	14.8	1.93
Shawn Marion	65	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	1	10	16.1	15.8	0.30	16.0	16.2	-0.21
Rodney Rogers	50	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	4	4	15.5	16.5	-1.03	14.7	17.6	-2.90
Dan Majerle	53	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	16.1	15.9	0.16	15.3	17.0	-1.63
Jake Voskuhl	15	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	7	-2	17.8	15.6	2.16	19.5	15.5	4.04
Jake Tsakalidis	37	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	15	-18	16.0	16.0	0.02	16.1	15.9	0.17
Bo Outlaw	27	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	15	-18	16.7	15.7	1.06	15.7	16.1	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SEA 98, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,1,1	95.3%