NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	89		Excitement	4.5 [914]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (UTA): +4.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.6 [1210]		LVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): -15.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	75%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	15	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	0.05	10	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	13	21%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Nene	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	1	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.03	0.05	21	43%	-0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	9	67%	0.06	4	-0.07	12	83%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	52%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.05	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.02
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	6	55%	-0.05	4	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	11	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	13	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.9	15.8	31.2	2.5	37.4	141.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +51.4%

UTA +5.1%

DEN -3.7%

DEN -3.8%

UTA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	92.7	103.1	101.6
season	15.7	16.3		90.4	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.3		101.1	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.3	16.0	18.0	11.6	15.0
UTA	15.7	14.0	12.5	17.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	23	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-7	4	15.9	14.7	1.20	17.7	14.3	3.36
Ryan Bowen	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-11	12	13.5	15.6	-2.11	16.8	14.3	2.46
Chris Andersen	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-10	10	13.9	15.5	-1.57	16.4	14.3	2.12
Nene	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-4	-2	16.1	14.1	2.00	16.8	13.7	3.12
Shammond Williams	57	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	14.0	16.3	-2.27	15.7	14.1	1.66
Vincent Yarbrough	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	15.0	14.9	0.02	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Donnell Harvey	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	16.3	14.0	2.34	13.5	16.1	-2.56
Marcus Camby	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	2	-14	16.2	14.1	2.06	12.7	16.6	-3.81
Juwan Howard	79	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-8	6	14.2	18.5	-4.27	14.6	16.9	-2.31
Junior Harrington	80	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	15.2	13.8	1.38	14.1	19.9	-5.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-3	16	15.1	14.5	0.60	15.1	14.1	1.00
Greg Ostertag	37	38	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-3	16	14.9	15.1	-0.20	16.8	13.8	3.03
John Stockton	64	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	8	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.78	14.4	16.1	-1.68
Karl Malone	77	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.33	-1	11	-12	14.4	17.6	-3.23	14.5	16.8	-2.31
Matt Harpring	68	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	10	-10	14.2	17.0	-2.71	14.9	15.2	-0.36
Scott Padgett	26	28	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	1	8	17.2	14.2	3.00	15.5	14.7	0.82
Mark Jackson	32	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	2	6	15.6	14.8	0.78	16.1	14.4	1.68
Andrei Kirilenko	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	11	-12	16.4	13.5	2.96	13.9	16.2	-2.34
John Amaechi	26	27	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	13.9	15.5	-1.53	16.0	14.5	1.50
DeShawn Stevenson	4	3	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	11.0	15.2	-4.22	7.7	15.2	-7.53
Tony Massenburg	14	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	8	-6	16.3	14.8	1.46	14.5	15.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 77, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 78, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%