NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	83		Excitement	5.0 [792]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (UTA): +5.4%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	2.0 [747]		LVP	Greg Ostertag (UTA): -12.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.05	8	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	20	51%	-0.04	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	81%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	21	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	86%	0.06	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	25.4	15.7	29.0	2.0	30.2	132.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.7%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +11.5%

UTA +8.5%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.5	95.4	104.4	101.6
season	16.5	16.3		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.6		101.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	18.4	16.7	14.5	15.4	16.1
UTA	16.8	16.8	15.5	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	37	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-16	21	15.8	16.4	-0.62	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Vitaly Potapenko	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-7	3	20.6	15.5	5.15	11.7	17.1	-5.32
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-11	11	15.8	16.4	-0.58	15.7	17.1	-1.38
Kevin Ollie	50	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-8	5	14.8	17.9	-3.10	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Predrag Drobnjak	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-7	3	16.0	16.4	-0.47	16.6	16.0	0.60
Reggie Evans	29	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	17.1	15.7	1.45	18.1	15.6	2.48
Ray Allen	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.3	15.1	1.15	16.1	18.4	-2.24
Brent Barry	60	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	4	-19	16.2	16.0	0.20	17.1	14.9	2.24
Rashard Lewis	74	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.08	-18	7	-25	16.3	15.3	0.98	16.9	14.1	2.80

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	51	52	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.10	20	-9	29	16.7	16.1	0.62	17.5	14.1	3.34
John Stockton	55	54	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.06	20	-9	29	16.6	16.1	0.56	16.5	15.6	0.91
Karl Malone	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	16.3	17.1	-0.80	16.5	13.9	2.58
Greg Ostertag	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	16.1	16.7	-0.62	17.3	14.9	2.48
Tony Massenburg	32	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.38	16.2	16.1	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	57	54	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	15.8	17.5	-1.71	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Andrei Kirilenko	72	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.19	-2	13	-15	16.7	15.2	1.54	15.1	19.7	-4.54
Scott Padgett	27	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	10	-9	17.6	15.9	1.65	12.9	17.5	-4.57
Mark Jackson	35	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	20	-29	16.1	16.6	-0.56	15.6	16.5	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 98, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	94.7%