NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	5.4 [766]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +13.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	1.5 [952]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -17.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	5	73%	0.11	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Carlos Arroyo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	14	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	8	50%	-0.04
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	17	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	13	39%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	15	62%	0.10	5	-0.10	10	70%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	7	56%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	10	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	28.2	16.4	25.4	1.8	28.5	124.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +18.3%

MEM +9.1%

MEM +5.7%

MEM +24.4%

UTA -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.5	89.1	100.0	104.0
season	16.7	16.4		102.3	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	15.9	16.5	16.7	16.5
MEM	15.2	15.4	13.5	15.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	19.2	15.6	3.61	15.4	14.6	0.78
Kirk Snyder	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-9	8	16.7	16.4	0.28	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Keith McLeod	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.9	16.0	0.90	14.9	14.8	0.07
Carlos Arroyo	43	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-8	6	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Mehmet Okur	61	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.9	17.7	-1.81	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Curtis Borchardt	30	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	17.0	16.2	0.82	15.6	14.5	1.17
Gordan Giricek	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.7	-0.28	15.4	13.0	2.37
Carlos Boozer	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	16.4	16.8	-0.41	15.2	12.6	2.58
Matt Harpring	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	16.0	20.4	-4.40	14.6	16.6	-1.92

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.20	8	2	6	15.0	14.5	0.50	16.2	17.4	-1.22
Earl Watson	34	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	14.6	14.9	-0.28	17.6	15.7	1.91
Lorenzen Wright	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-3	16	15.2	14.2	1.00	16.4	16.7	-0.29
James Posey	63	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	14.5	15.6	-1.06	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Shane Battier	57	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	9	-8	14.9	14.6	0.32	17.0	15.8	1.21
Bonzi Wells	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	2	6	14.0	15.4	-1.36	16.8	16.2	0.59
Mike Miller	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	10	-10	15.4	14.0	1.34	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Jason Williams	58	56	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	12	-14	14.9	14.6	0.28	15.7	17.6	-1.91
Stromile Swift	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	10	-10	14.3	15.1	-0.78	17.1	16.2	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOP 91, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 93, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%