NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	91		Excitement	5.9 [659]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +19.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	2.1 [636]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -14.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	64%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.01	21	56%	0.04	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Anthony Davis	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	23	52%	-0.03	5	-0.09	17	82%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.05	11	18%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.04	0.00	15	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	18	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	6	17%	-0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.8	28.2	14.5	30.2	1.8	34.3	141.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.8%

NOP -11.3%

MEM +6.0%

MEM +16.4%

NOP -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MEM	NBA	NOP	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	16.2	14.7	94.8	107.3	107.5
season	13.6	15.4		108.0	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.8	13.8	14.4	14.3	13.8
MEM	16.7	13.3	16.2	19.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-11	10	11.0	13.8	-2.83	19.5	16.1	3.37
Tony Allen	24	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	14.1	13.7	0.43	15.1	16.5	-1.35
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.25	5	-17	22	13.5	15.0	-1.53	16.7	14.1	2.59
E'Twaun Moore	67	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-12	12	13.9	13.7	0.21	17.0	14.3	2.75
Jordan Crawford	27	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-3	-6	14.2	13.6	0.58	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Dante Cunningham	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	13.5	14.2	-0.78	15.7	16.8	-1.04
Jrue Holiday	75	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-9	6	13.8	13.8	-0.01	16.6	14.5	2.08
Darius Miller	35	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	0	-12	13.5	14.0	-0.54	15.4	16.6	-1.22
Ian Clark	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	1	-14	14.4	13.4	1.03	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Anthony Davis	81	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.15	-15	3	-18	13.9	13.1	0.87	16.1	16.6	-0.52

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-5	22	16.2	16.3	-0.10	14.5	12.8	1.70
Marc Gasol	58	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	4	4	15.8	16.8	-1.02	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Tyreke Evans	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	4	4	16.3	16.1	0.18	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Mario Chalmers	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	16.0	16.4	-0.33	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Mike Conley	66	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	16.7	15.1	1.60	14.0	13.3	0.69
Chandler Parsons	29	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	6	0	15.6	16.4	-0.83	15.0	13.2	1.72
Brandan Wright	54	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	7	-2	16.9	15.4	1.49	13.7	13.9	-0.16
Jarell Martin	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	8	-4	16.4	16.1	0.36	13.2	14.2	-1.01
JaMychal Green	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	12	-12	15.0	16.3	-1.32	14.0	13.8	0.22
Andrew Harrison	40	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	15.6	16.6	-0.94	13.5	14.0	-0.49
James Ennis III	39	39	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	17	-22	16.3	16.2	0.10	12.8	14.5	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 84, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 82, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.0%
NJN 93, LAL 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%