inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 84 Excitement4.9 [870] MVPLucious Harris (CLE): +6.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 100 Comeback2.5 [793] LVPPrimoz Brezec (CHA): -16.0%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie House0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02847%0.0300.001100%0.01
Steven Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05387%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jamal Sampson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.120.00-0.11312%-0.013-0.00250%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.021241%-0.0400.00862%-0.01
Jason Kapono-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01844%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00662%0.013-0.0910%-0.02
Emeka Okafor-0.090,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.001250%-0.014-0.09250%-0.01
Gerald Wallace-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.001054%0.004-0.12862%-0.01
Melvin Ely-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.02728%-0.121-0.01425%-0.05
Primoz Brezec-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.03-0.031621%-0.1600.00250%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.000.00580%0.0700.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.08-0.040.021273%0.082-0.06989%0.03
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.04857%0.062-0.057100%0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05450%0.012-0.00250%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dajuan Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.13-0.00-0.08719%-0.032-0.01250%-0.00
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.00330%-0.061-0.03475%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.040.012057%0.047-0.16475%-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.06-0.021040%-0.122-0.041080%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game500.02.028.715.029.31.629.3606.0
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +23.2%
CLE +22.2%
CLE +11.2%
CHA -5.8%
CHA -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHACLENBACHACLENBA
this game14.615.415.587.5104.2104.0
season15.516.299.0104.6
opponent15.315.1103.9105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.516.914.312.714.6
CLE15.516.613.316.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Sampson2425-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-182012.715.2-2.4916.615.01.59
Emeka Okafor5454-0.14-0.360.21-0.09-2-141215.114.01.1015.215.7-0.55
Eddie House3536-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-4-12814.214.8-0.6315.415.5-0.11
Steven Smith1615-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-8019.613.65.9919.214.74.47
Keith Bogans7475-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-11613.518.2-4.7415.116.5-1.34
Gerald Wallace6463-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-151415.911.93.9515.914.51.39
Brevin Knight6464-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-7-214.514.8-0.3614.716.9-2.17
Melvin Ely5049-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-5-613.715.6-1.9115.215.6-0.41
Jason Kapono3939-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-171-1813.515.3-1.7415.615.30.32
Primoz Brezec6060-0.530.03-0.570.20-259-3415.313.41.8914.916.2-1.32

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas54540.65-0.150.80-0.2631-154614.416.7-2.2515.713.22.50
Drew Gooden65630.65-0.150.80-0.3534-185214.816.7-1.9415.712.43.27
LeBron James74740.480.020.45-0.2324-83215.614.90.7315.312.23.10
Jeff McInnis69680.430.070.36-0.3627-113815.116.3-1.2114.415.0-0.65
Ira Newble57560.370.130.24-0.041421214.117.4-3.3014.614.50.13
Eric Snow41420.130.37-0.240.16-117-1816.614.52.1114.614.60.04
Lucious Harris20210.070.43-0.360.33-925-3416.215.21.0417.413.83.66
Sasha Pavlovic14140.030.47-0.45-0.00115-1415.815.40.4210.315.3-5.02
Dajuan Wagner1313-0.000.50-0.510.23-824-3216.715.21.4611.215.1-3.87
DeSagana Diop2324-0.020.52-0.530.22-824-3216.615.11.5011.715.5-3.82
Scott Williams1918-0.130.63-0.770.07-723-3016.815.11.7615.114.40.66
Robert Traylor3133-0.150.65-0.800.38-1834-5216.714.81.9412.415.7-3.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 96, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
NOP 91, MEM 1030.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.0%
SAS 82, SEA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%