inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement4.4 [575] MVPGary Payton (SEA): +16.1%
Seattle SuperSonics 92 Comeback2.1 [447] LVPJerome Kersey (SAS): -9.9%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaren Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.01671%0.051-0.04250%0.00
Gerard King0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01360%0.0000.004100%0.00
Andrew Gaze-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02367%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03420%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.02-0.051136%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.03-0.041259%0.065-0.121377%0.02
Mario Elie-0.070,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.02-0.031436%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.001145%-0.012-0.0600%0.00
David Robinson-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.02-0.06942%-0.024-0.066100%0.02
Jerome Kersey-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.071-0.0200%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.06-0.032056%0.181-0.021100%0.00
Dale Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.03881%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03540%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00756%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03125%-0.0000.00250%0.00
James Cotton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02050%-0.0000.00450%-0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.070.00-0.0610%-0.001-0.0020%-0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.0420%-0.0320.0000%0.00
Olden Polynice0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011155%0.063-0.0900%0.00
Aaron Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.02440%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Detlef Schrempf0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.011040%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Vin Baker0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.01-0.051938%-0.052-0.03450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game61.91.628.715.825.31.833.0168.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +29.2%
SAS -6.8%
SEA +9.4%
SEA +18.7%
SAS -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game15.414.815.884.597.999.6
season15.915.4101.1102.4
opponent15.915.9103.592.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.519.015.213.215.4
SEA19.414.313.013.514.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerard King10100.00-0.500.50-0.3211-21327.716.2-8.539.815.4-5.59
Andrew Gaze10100.00-0.500.50-0.3211-21327.716.2-8.539.815.4-5.59
Antonio Daniels1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-17248.016.5-8.4910.115.6-5.55
Malik Rose1314-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-17248.016.5-8.4910.115.6-5.55
Steve Kerr3533-0.23-0.270.030.29-188-2618.713.55.2614.015.2-1.28
Jerome Kersey2927-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-100-1018.114.23.9812.315.8-3.46
David Robinson6765-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-155-2016.712.34.4616.111.94.25
Jaren Jackson4747-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-5013.417.2-3.7812.816.8-3.98
Sean Elliott5652-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.15-5-5014.916.0-1.0416.412.93.51
Avery Johnson6765-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.15-6-4-216.213.42.7815.812.43.40
Mario Elie6361-0.34-0.16-0.180.07-144-1817.112.05.1116.212.24.08
Tim Duncan7572-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-133-1615.315.4-0.0816.210.45.79

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vin Baker61650.66-0.160.81-0.0825-154015.912.83.1416.313.52.81
Gary Payton67740.480.020.45-0.0217-72415.912.03.9816.511.55.02
Dale Ellis46480.450.050.400.0115-52016.413.23.2117.513.34.21
Hersey Hawkins66690.420.080.330.0114-41813.916.9-3.0315.814.11.70
Aaron Williams29290.320.180.130.021001012.615.8-3.1517.214.62.65
Detlef Schrempf64650.180.32-0.14-0.121001015.712.92.7916.013.92.11
Olden Polynice59600.120.38-0.260.0628-617.210.76.5115.515.10.44
Moochie Norris27230.020.48-0.450.23-717-2412.015.9-3.9811.516.5-5.02
Rashard Lewis980.000.50-0.500.21-717-248.015.5-7.527.016.1-9.10
James Cotton980.000.50-0.500.21-717-248.015.5-7.527.016.1-9.10
Vladimir Stepania1516-0.050.55-0.610.21-919-2812.415.3-2.8510.216.4-6.18
Don MacLean1820-0.080.58-0.660.30-1323-3611.415.6-4.2210.916.5-5.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 86, MEM 1040.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
MEM 82, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
CHA 84, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%