inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 82 Excitement3.9 [1053] MVPBoris Diaw (SAS): +10.5%
San Antonio Spurs 103 Comeback1.9 [831] LVPRudy Gay (MEM): -12.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.01671%0.1000.00580%0.02
Marreese Speights0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.00-0.05450%0.0410.00250%-0.00
Mike Conley0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.02-0.00-0.02759%0.071-0.033100%0.02
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Josh Selby0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Wroten-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01125%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Zach Randolph-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.02-0.031144%0.031-0.033100%0.02
Darrell Arthur-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.01-0.03425%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.01529%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02765%0.023-0.053100%0.01
Jerryd Bayless-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01729%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.001357%0.046-0.17475%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.01-0.001070%0.1000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.01-0.041754%0.131-0.021100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.01677%0.111-0.0210%-0.02
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.10-0.010.036108%0.132-0.0600%0.00
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01580%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.03-0.03945%0.0600.0020%-0.04
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03275%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.021161%0.054-0.06683%-0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00850%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.630.315.422.41.728.0123.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +59.7%
MEM -15.7%
MEM -2.7%
SAS +11.1%
MEM -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game17.116.015.494.3118.4104.1
season16.515.2102.9106.4
opponent15.115.599.599.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM18.816.818.514.617.1
SAS18.115.915.115.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamed Haddadi550.00-0.500.500.000-212114.417.2-2.8318.015.92.09
Josh Selby780.00-0.500.500.06-2-191715.117.2-2.0918.215.82.44
Tony Wroten1213-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-191713.317.7-4.3318.115.72.40
Jerryd Bayless2929-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-201918.716.32.4315.616.2-0.62
Tony Allen4846-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-191717.716.21.5216.415.60.85
Darrell Arthur4240-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-10-118.216.02.2114.817.1-2.24
Marreese Speights2325-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-11115.617.6-2.0416.116.00.06
Zach Randolph6159-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-11117.316.50.8115.916.3-0.42
Wayne Ellington3433-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-8-516.417.5-1.1315.516.4-0.89
Rudy Gay7070-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-6-917.117.00.0916.314.91.36
Marc Gasol4649-0.520.02-0.55-0.03-17-4-1317.716.31.3816.315.70.67
Mike Conley5858-0.600.10-0.700.04-221-2316.318.6-2.2815.716.7-1.03

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan55560.400.100.29-0.131831516.315.60.6517.017.2-0.24
Tiago Splitter53500.360.140.220.10912-315.916.2-0.3317.915.92.05
Boris Diaw53530.290.210.07-0.12147715.417.0-1.5816.917.3-0.37
Danny Green36370.290.210.070.08714-716.815.51.3617.117.1-0.03
Tony Parker64630.280.220.06-0.041110116.116.00.1116.718.0-1.29
Kawhi Leonard41420.250.25-0.000.10516-1116.215.90.3517.217.00.19
Gary Neal43430.220.28-0.06-0.16138515.017.1-2.1417.416.80.60
Patty Mills23240.220.28-0.06-0.071011-116.016.1-0.1118.016.71.29
Stephen Jackson43430.210.29-0.09-0.23156915.716.3-0.5717.416.80.60
Matt Bonner660.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1718.015.92.1115.317.2-1.86
Nando De Colo880.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1918.215.82.4414.117.4-3.24
DeJuan Blair550.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.015.92.0914.417.2-2.83
Cory Joseph550.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.015.92.0914.417.2-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 101, PHX 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
PHI 92, NYK 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
LAL 91, LAC 1070.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%