NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	5.5 [679]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +17.6%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	2.5 [1077]		LVP	John Starks (NYK): -22.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don MacLean	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	59%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04
Doug Overton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Rex Walters	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	58%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	28%	-0.10	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.04	-0.07	19	32%	-0.05	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	11	54%	-0.09	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	18	76%	0.18	1	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	10	82%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	0.07	9	95%	0.11	7	-0.17	4	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Chris Childs	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	0.01	11	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.21	-0.03	-0.01	13	17%	-0.18	2	-0.04	4	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	32.2	16.4	28.6	2.5	28.5	136.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.7%

PHI -9.2%

NYK +6.0%

NYK +6.5%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.6	92.9	108.1	104.4
season	14.7	15.1		101.4	102.0
opponent	16.1	14.7		98.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.6	14.1	13.9	14.2
NYK	14.6	14.2	13.6	17.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Overton	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	8.5	14.5	-5.95	15.2	14.9	0.34
Adrian Caldwell	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	8.0	14.4	-6.41	15.0	14.9	0.13
Lucious Harris	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-15	15	13.5	14.7	-1.15	16.1	14.0	2.12
Mark Davis	58	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-16	17	13.6	15.1	-1.55	15.0	14.8	0.20
Scott Williams	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-12	9	12.4	15.0	-2.54	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Don MacLean	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-12	9	13.0	15.8	-2.83	15.6	13.9	1.72
Clar. Weatherspoon	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	16.2	12.5	3.62	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Jerry Stackhouse	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-1	-13	13.8	15.7	-1.89	14.6	16.0	-1.48
Michael Cage	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	15.3	12.0	3.27	15.0	14.6	0.47
Rex Walters	26	25	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	2	-19	16.8	13.3	3.57	13.3	15.4	-2.14
Allen Iverson	89	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	0	-15	14.6	11.1	3.46	15.0	14.3	0.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	78	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-3	21	14.5	16.3	-1.79	14.7	12.4	2.32
Patrick Ewing	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.02	18	-3	21	15.0	14.4	0.64	14.9	12.2	2.69
Chris Childs	83	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	4	7	15.0	14.0	1.05	14.3	13.9	0.33
Larry Johnson	79	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	6	3	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Charles Oakley	80	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	5	5	14.7	15.6	-0.93	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Buck Williams	40	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	14	-13	14.9	14.8	0.08	13.8	14.5	-0.69
John Wallace	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	8	-1	13.9	15.1	-1.13	13.3	14.4	-1.14
John Starks	38	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	15.8	14.3	1.56	13.9	14.4	-0.43
Scott Brooks	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	15.0	14.9	0.13	8.0	14.4	-6.41
Walter McCarty	2	1	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	15	-15	11.0	15.0	-3.96	22.0	14.1	7.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 88, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
CLE 101, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%