NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	4.9 [830]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +14.6%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.3 [595]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (CHI): -7.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Bairstow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	18	61%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.06	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.01	11	74%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	92%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.04
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.02	19	51%	0.06	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	30.3	17.7	29.7	2.8	35.4	144.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.6%

SAC +12.6%

CHI -6.3%

SAC +5.6%

SAC +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.1	96.7	112.0	104.2
season	15.5	14.9		105.4	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.2		107.6	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	17.5	15.5	16.7	16.7
SAC	15.5	12.5	13.3	18.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	10.0	16.9	-6.85	12.0	14.9	-2.88
E'Twaun Moore	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	10.0	16.9	-6.85	12.0	14.9	-2.88
Tony Snell	12	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.09	-4	-11	7	16.2	16.8	-0.62	13.0	15.0	-2.05
Cameron Bairstow	11	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-12	9	17.5	16.6	0.96	12.5	15.1	-2.64
Aaron Brooks	46	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-14	13	16.5	16.9	-0.46	16.0	13.7	2.30
Nikola Mirotic	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-10	5	15.9	17.2	-1.33	14.8	14.8	0.03
Doug McDermott	25	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-7	-1	14.5	17.5	-3.01	13.1	15.5	-2.42
Taj Gibson	64	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-8	1	16.4	17.5	-1.16	15.0	14.4	0.56
Jimmy Butler	68	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	17.4	14.6	2.86	15.4	13.1	2.32
Mike Dunleavy	66	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	-4	-7	16.7	16.7	-0.02	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Kirk Hinrich	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-4	-7	17.4	15.7	1.64	14.9	14.6	0.22
Joakim Noah	70	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.09	-13	-2	-11	17.5	14.1	3.39	15.1	13.7	1.38

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	78	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.05	17	-2	19	14.8	14.9	-0.09	16.8	16.1	0.76
Rudy Gay	64	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.02	18	-3	21	15.2	13.9	1.23	18.1	13.4	4.63
Carl Landry	32	30	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-1	17	15.0	14.7	0.29	17.7	16.2	1.44
Derrick Williams	47	45	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	4	7	13.5	16.2	-2.69	15.6	17.8	-2.27
DeMarcus Cousins	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	6	3	15.1	14.0	1.11	17.0	15.9	1.15
Jason Thompson	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	9	-3	14.7	14.9	-0.17	16.2	17.6	-1.46
Ben McLemore	59	58	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	12	-9	14.7	15.0	-0.34	16.3	17.5	-1.18
Ray McCallum	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	2.0	14.9	-12.92	9.0	16.8	-7.79
Nik Stauskas	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	2.0	14.9	-12.92	9.0	16.8	-7.79
Omri Casspi	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	18	-21	15.1	14.6	0.52	16.6	16.8	-0.17
Ryan Hollins	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	15	-15	2.0	15.1	-13.07	8.5	16.9	-8.39
Ramon Sessions	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	21	-27	17.5	13.9	3.65	16.5	16.8	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, NYK 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NOP 89, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CLE 101, PHX 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%