NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	5.1 [791]		MVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): +16.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	1.7 [254]		LVP	Adam Morrison (LAL): -10.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	16	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Josh Powell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	41%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	0%	-0.03
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.03	-0.06	16	55%	0.20	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.02	0.09	12	82%	0.12	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	6	31%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	14	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	32.2	16.0	24.1	2.5	28.6	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.8%

LAC +7.2%

LAL -17.7%

LAC +6.1%

LAL -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.3	94.8	111.5	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		107.9	101.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		108.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	16.1	14.2	14.4	15.0
LAC	14.8	12.7	15.8	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	31	31	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-21	26	15.9	14.6	1.33	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Sasha Vujacic	31	31	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-14	12	15.5	14.8	0.76	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Josh Powell	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-9	2	14.4	15.8	-1.46	14.7	15.4	-0.73
DJ Mbenga	41	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-7	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.4	14.7	0.63
Adam Morrison	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-11	6	14.1	15.4	-1.24	18.1	13.6	4.46
Pau Gasol	55	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-9	2	15.6	14.2	1.45	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Luke Walton	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	0	-16	15.0	15.0	0.04	13.3	16.1	-2.87
Shannon Brown	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-6	-4	14.5	17.0	-2.46	15.1	14.6	0.43
Lamar Odom	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-4	-8	15.3	14.6	0.71	16.1	13.1	3.02
Derek Fisher	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	1	-18	15.6	14.1	1.51	14.6	15.7	-1.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	65	66	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.04	20	-4	24	14.7	15.6	-0.91	15.0	14.9	0.15
Steve Blake	81	83	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.11	22	-6	28	14.7	16.4	-1.66	15.9	9.2	6.76
Steve Novak	34	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	12	-8	15.0	15.0	-0.00	13.6	15.8	-2.19
Rasual Butler	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	4	8	15.2	14.5	0.71	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Mardy Collins	42	41	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	14	-12	14.6	15.3	-0.68	14.2	15.6	-1.45
Chris Kaman	71	70	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	11	-6	15.5	13.5	2.06	15.4	14.0	1.37
Craig Smith	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	9	-2	14.7	15.5	-0.81	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Travis Outlaw	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.18	12	4	8	15.0	15.0	0.00	15.8	13.6	2.19
Bobby Brown	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	20.5	14.8	5.74	1.7	15.4	-13.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, MIA 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,1	95.4%
POR 87, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 82, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%