NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	4.5 [887]		MVP	Dan Schayes (ORL): +8.6%
Orlando Magic	102		Comeback	1.6 [512]		LVP	Rick Brunson (POR): -17.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	76%	0.08	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	51%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.04
Gary Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	11	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	16	55%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	1	33%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Rick Brunson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	31%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	9	45%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	23.6	16.0	30.2	1.7	29.3	129.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.3%

ORL +0.5%

ORL +8.2%

ORL +10.6%

ORL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.6	96.7	112.1	102.5
season	15.9	16.7		101.9	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	15.9	17.3	13.4	15.9
ORL	15.5	16.1	17.0	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Grant	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-14	13	13.9	16.9	-2.98	15.9	16.0	-0.15
Stacey Augmon	51	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-15	15	14.6	17.5	-2.88	17.3	14.0	3.31
Kelvin Cato	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-12	9	18.2	15.7	2.48	14.4	16.1	-1.66
John Crotty	19	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-10	5	16.4	15.7	0.65	13.3	16.8	-3.42
Arvydas Sabonis	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-11	7	15.6	16.3	-0.66	16.7	14.6	2.14
Jermaine O'Neal	11	12	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-4	-7	18.3	15.5	2.75	11.9	16.6	-4.67
Rick Brunson	46	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-7	-1	16.8	14.9	1.90	16.3	15.6	0.72
Isaiah Rider	44	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	16.9	14.9	1.97	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Walt Williams	42	43	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-4	-7	14.9	16.7	-1.74	15.4	16.5	-1.13
Brian Grant	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	16.6	13.1	3.54	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Rasheed Wallace	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-4	-7	15.7	16.6	-0.98	16.2	14.7	1.48

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	51	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	0	15	16.7	15.0	1.77	16.8	14.6	2.21
Bo Outlaw	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.10	17	-2	19	16.0	16.0	0.02	16.3	15.4	0.96
Horace Grant	70	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Dan Schayes	30	31	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	7	1	16.7	15.6	1.04	18.7	14.4	4.35
Gerald Wilkins	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	10	-5	16.8	15.2	1.56	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Derek Strong	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	5	5	15.8	16.4	-0.67	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Kevin Edwards	13	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	8	-1	10.4	16.9	-6.51	15.7	15.9	-0.22
Mark Price	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	8	-1	16.3	15.5	0.82	14.4	17.5	-3.08
David Benoit	61	61	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	16	-17	15.9	16.1	-0.15	14.7	18.2	-3.47
Kevin Ollie	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	7.0	16.4	-9.38	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Jason Lawson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	7.0	16.4	-9.38	13.0	16.0	-2.95
Nick Anderson	20	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	19	-23	16.7	15.8	0.94	18.1	15.2	2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, SAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
VAN 89, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
LAL 91, LAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%