NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	4.8 [831]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +24.1%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.4 [1088]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -13.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.04	13	79%	0.17	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	76%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	41%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	17	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	10	45%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.05	0.05	14	90%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	63%	0.10	4	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	11	42%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	12	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	10	46%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	21.6	16.6	26.2	2.4	35.5	126.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +35.8%

ATL +2.4%

POR -6.3%

ATL +12.4%

ATL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.6	102.3	109.1	104.4
season	15.5	16.4		105.2	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.5		100.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	16.0	14.7	16.7	15.8
ATL	16.1	16.8	18.9	16.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.9	15.3	2.60	17.3	17.1	0.19
Clifford Robinson	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-8	9	15.4	16.0	-0.61	17.6	16.8	0.80
Rumeal Robinson	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	21.6	15.1	6.44	19.6	16.9	2.75
Dontonio Wingfield	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	16.7	15.5	1.17	16.8	17.2	-0.41
Arvydas Sabonis	44	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	15.1	16.5	-1.40	16.9	17.4	-0.46
Gary Trent	54	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	3	-13	15.4	16.4	-0.99	17.2	17.1	0.10
Chris Dudley	43	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	0	-7	16.5	15.1	1.40	17.4	16.9	0.46
Kenny Anderson	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-3	-1	15.1	21.6	-6.44	16.9	19.6	-2.75
Isaiah Rider	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.3	17.9	-2.60	17.1	17.3	-0.19
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	1	-9	16.0	15.1	0.86	16.9	17.6	-0.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	78	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-6	19	17.2	16.7	0.48	16.3	12.0	4.27
Tyrone Corbin	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	17.3	15.4	1.93	16.1	13.0	3.06
Mookie Blaylock	85	83	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	0	7	17.1	18.7	-1.60	15.8	15.5	0.30
Steven Smith	83	82	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.9	20.2	-3.26	15.1	26.4	-11.27
Christian Laettner	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	16.5	20.5	-4.01	14.6	21.4	-6.79
Eldridge Recasner	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	19.6	16.9	2.75	21.6	15.1	6.44
Alan Henderson	25	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	11	-15	18.8	16.5	2.28	17.1	15.2	1.93
Ivano Newbill	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	15.4	17.3	-1.84	13.8	15.9	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 94, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
BOS 93, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%