inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 89 Excitement5.0 [801] MVPBruce Bowen (SAS): +11.6%
San Antonio Spurs 102 Comeback1.3 [1170] LVPBrad Miller (SAC): -10.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Francisco Garcia0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.01575%0.082-0.052100%0.00
Anthony Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.00967%0.103-0.0800%0.00
Metta World Peace0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.03-0.002150%0.021-0.02450%-0.02
Shelden Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05367%-0.0000.00367%-0.00
Quincy Douby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03333%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Spencer Hawes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Kevin Martin-0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.011249%0.042-0.051788%0.04
John Salmons-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00644%-0.001-0.03475%0.01
Brad Miller-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02812%-0.071-0.0300%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.024100%0.1200.002100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.070.00575%0.142-0.042100%0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011456%0.101-0.03683%0.02
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.04-0.01667%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00460%0.0300.002100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.01950%0.051-0.02475%-0.01
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.02-0.00-0.01947%0.0300.0010%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00-0.001850%0.052-0.05683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.733.015.824.33.332.4138.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +46.2%
SAS +4.3%
SAC -0.8%
SAS +8.2%
SAC -7.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game15.617.415.4100.0118.6105.7
season14.916.5105.6104.7
opponent15.315.0100.5108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.316.015.016.015.6
SAS16.017.517.818.317.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams109-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-131316.515.51.0417.917.30.58
Quincy Douby2219-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-10715.715.50.2017.617.30.27
Spencer Hawes3736-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-8316.015.20.7817.017.7-0.69
Francisco Garcia4142-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-6-117.014.32.7417.317.5-0.17
Mikki Moore5856-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-10715.515.7-0.2117.816.61.13
Brad Miller4140-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-5-315.315.8-0.5717.217.5-0.23
Kevin Martin6866-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.18-5-8315.117.2-2.1817.716.31.33
Metta World Peace7169-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.08-10-3-714.918.1-3.1117.118.6-1.52
John Salmons4239-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.01-130-1315.615.50.1317.417.30.12
Anthony Johnson5554-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.10-11-2-915.615.50.1717.217.7-0.50

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili47480.61-0.110.710.0818-52317.117.7-0.6816.714.22.55
Kurt Thomas37360.51-0.010.520.0416-31916.418.1-1.6517.314.42.91
Ime Udoka37380.400.100.300.1685316.917.7-0.8416.315.01.25
Tim Duncan57590.380.120.27-0.0314-11518.115.92.1715.216.3-1.15
Tony Parker57590.320.180.14-0.031211117.816.61.1315.316.2-0.90
Jacque Vaughn34320.270.230.040.1258-317.417.4-0.0316.315.21.11
Michael Finley55580.130.37-0.230.05310-717.417.30.1314.617.5-2.93
Matt Bonner560.000.50-0.500.09-316-1916.417.4-1.0315.215.6-0.44
Damon Stoudamire57-0.010.51-0.520.08-316-1916.417.4-1.0313.315.8-2.48
Robert Horry44-0.020.52-0.540.01-114-1517.017.4-0.3919.715.44.37
Bruce Bowen5155-0.030.53-0.57-0.09211-917.617.00.5815.116.3-1.12
Fabricio Oberto4143-0.050.55-0.600.12-619-2517.417.40.0314.616.5-1.96


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 75, MIN 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.2%
POR 89, ATL 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,195.0%
CHI 112, POR 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%