NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	5.4 [782]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +22.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	124		Comeback	1.1 [1194]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -10.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.03	0.04	9	88%	0.20	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Bobby Portis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.03	12	62%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	5	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	19	42%	-0.01	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	14	80%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	77%	0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	67%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	29.2	14.6	27.5	1.8	30.4	126.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.6%

POR +6.8%

POR +2.8%

CHI -4.7%

POR +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	14.7	13.5	14.3	109.8	121.6	109.3
season	14.6	14.9		104.2	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.3		109.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.7	16.4	14.9	14.9	14.7
POR	13.9	11.8	13.9	14.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cristiano Felicio	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	11.5	15.1	-3.55	14.7	13.4	1.30
Wayne Selden	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	11.5	15.1	-3.55	14.7	13.4	1.30
Chandler Hutchison	66	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-17	22	13.3	17.2	-3.93	13.6	13.4	0.13
Robin Lopez	13	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-9	6	18.0	14.2	3.78	13.9	13.5	0.45
Kris Dunn	65	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-4	-4	13.9	16.1	-2.20	13.2	14.1	-0.95
Shaquille Harrison	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-13	14	15.5	14.4	1.12	14.7	13.0	1.71
Zach LaVine	73	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	1	-14	14.5	15.3	-0.89	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Wendell Carter Jr.	60	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.10	-13	1	-14	14.9	14.4	0.47	13.6	13.4	0.23
Bobby Portis	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.09	-14	2	-16	14.9	14.6	0.32	13.6	13.5	0.10
Lauri Markkanen	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	14.7	14.8	-0.16	13.0	14.7	-1.70
Ryan Arcidiacono	32	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	1	-14	16.8	13.7	3.12	14.1	13.3	0.77
Antonio Blakeney	41	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	16.5	13.5	3.06	13.6	13.5	0.12

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	54	54	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-3	18	14.2	12.8	1.35	15.2	14.2	1.02
Seth Curry	47	46	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-3	18	14.7	12.6	2.10	15.8	13.8	1.92
Evan Turner	42	44	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.00	13	-1	14	13.8	13.3	0.52	14.9	14.6	0.36
Nik Stauskas	32	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.01	10	2	8	13.0	13.8	-0.82	16.4	13.9	2.52
Damian Lillard	72	72	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	5	2	13.6	13.4	0.23	14.0	16.4	-2.40
Al-Farouq Aminu	60	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	12.9	14.4	-1.41	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Meyers Leonard	39	38	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	1	10	14.2	13.1	1.09	15.7	14.1	1.56
CJ McCollum	67	67	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	12	-12	13.0	14.6	-1.67	14.9	14.4	0.42
Jake Layman	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	17	-22	13.4	13.6	-0.23	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Anfernee Simons	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.3	13.6	-1.34	11.0	15.0	-3.98
Gary Trent Jr.	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	12.3	13.6	-1.34	11.0	15.0	-3.98
Jusuf Nurkic	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	15	-18	13.1	13.8	-0.69	14.6	14.8	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 93, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.49,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
BOS 112, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.91,1	94.7%