NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	5.9 [645]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +16.4%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	1.2 [1067]		LVP	Orien Greene (BOS): -13.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	16	67%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.11	0.17	-0.03	0.04	17	70%	0.20	2	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	71%	0.13	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	9	80%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	7	88%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	13	81%	0.24	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.03	-0.07	20	43%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.03	13	67%	0.14	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.04
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.5	25.5	16.7	27.1	2.7	28.5	131.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.9%

IND +1.6%

IND +27.9%

BOS -3.5%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	16.5	15.6	121.7	125.8	104.4
season	14.8	16.0		103.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.8	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.4	14.8	15.4	16.4	14.6
IND	15.3	15.2	17.3	18.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	60	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-16	27	14.9	14.0	0.90	18.1	13.4	4.68
Michael Olowokandi	15	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-4	3	15.9	14.4	1.49	12.9	17.2	-4.31
Raef LaFrentz	56	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-12	19	14.3	15.1	-0.85	17.3	15.3	2.00
Tony Allen	51	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-9	13	13.4	16.2	-2.80	17.2	15.5	1.68
Orien Greene	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	3	-11	15.8	13.5	2.34	15.6	17.3	-1.68
Paul Pierce	73	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	13.5	18.8	-5.26	16.8	15.2	1.66
Gerald Green	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	5	-15	15.0	14.0	1.01	15.3	18.0	-2.71
Brian Scalabrine	22	22	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	12	-29	16.3	14.1	2.23	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Ryan Gomes	85	85	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.29	-13	8	-21	14.7	13.1	1.60	16.2	19.6	-3.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Granger	49	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-3	11	15.5	17.6	-2.06	15.2	14.0	1.27
Peja Stojakovic	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	16.5	16.6	-0.11	14.7	14.3	0.46
Jamaal Tinsley	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	0	5	15.2	17.7	-2.53	15.6	13.7	1.91
Austin Croshere	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	16.3	17.0	-0.73	14.3	15.2	-0.91
Jermaine O'Neal	80	79	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	5	-5	16.7	15.1	1.66	14.4	15.8	-1.34
Stephen Jackson	78	77	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.50	-8	13	-21	17.1	13.6	3.46	14.4	15.8	-1.41
Anthony Johnson	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	5	-5	17.7	15.2	2.53	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Jeff Foster	22	21	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	0	5	15.5	16.8	-1.26	14.1	14.8	-0.62
Scot Pollard	10	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	5	-5	19.5	16.1	3.36	17.4	14.3	3.12
Sarunas Jasikevicius	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	10.0	16.6	-6.58	11.0	14.7	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 88, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%