NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	5.9 [658]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +16.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	103		Comeback	1.6 [754]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -24.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	15	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Maceo Baston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	16	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Diener	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.07	0.01	9	26%	-0.11	5	-0.14	5	40%	-0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	10	67%	0.19	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	17	49%	0.09	1	-0.03	17	88%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	-0.01	1	0.03	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.03	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	1.8	31.3	15.5	26.2	2.5	28.6	135.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +16.0%

CHA +21.7%

IND -4.9%

CHA +16.2%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.5	15.5	98.9	109.6	106.4
season	14.1	16.5		106.5	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.3		104.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.5	14.2	15.8	11.4	14.0
CHA	13.8	17.1	15.5	19.9	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maceo Baston	22	23	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.14	8	-17	25	13.1	14.2	-1.16	17.7	16.1	1.63
Danny Granger	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-5	1	13.7	14.1	-0.39	14.1	17.2	-3.16
Troy Murphy	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-10	11	14.9	11.3	3.61	16.9	15.3	1.62
Roy Hibbert	30	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-8	7	16.2	13.0	3.20	15.1	17.2	-2.16
Jarrett Jack	80	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-8	7	14.0	13.9	0.05	16.5	16.6	-0.07
Travis Diener	47	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-1	-7	12.8	15.1	-2.32	15.5	17.4	-1.90
Brandon Rush	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-1	-7	13.0	14.8	-1.74	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Rasho Nesterovic	37	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	1	-11	13.1	14.5	-1.43	16.9	16.3	0.60
T.J. Ford	68	69	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	13.9	14.2	-0.29	17.1	14.8	2.28
Marquis Daniels	55	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.15	-17	8	-25	14.5	13.3	1.17	17.3	15.4	1.89

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	49	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	17.2	15.7	1.49	12.0	16.2	-4.19
Raymond Felton	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.16	8	1	7	15.9	18.5	-2.66	14.3	13.0	1.21
Raja Bell	83	82	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	3	3	16.4	17.0	-0.55	14.0	13.8	0.24
Gerald Wallace	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.28	2	7	-5	17.1	13.6	3.50	13.7	15.3	-1.61
Emeka Okafor	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	4	1	15.0	17.7	-2.77	15.3	12.9	2.34
Boris Diaw	72	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	16.1	17.8	-1.71	14.3	12.9	1.45
DeSagana Diop	22	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	17.9	16.1	1.83	13.6	14.1	-0.49
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	6	-3	18.1	15.2	2.82	13.6	14.3	-0.77
Juwan Howard	1	1	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	6	-3	13.0	16.5	-3.55	18.0	13.9	4.06
Cartier Martin	10	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	10	-11	13.2	16.9	-3.70	17.9	13.5	4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	94.9%
DAL 100, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 89, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%