NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	5.5 [755]		MVP	Al Harrington (ATL): +8.9%
Atlanta Hawks	113		Comeback	1.7 [914]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -14.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	77%	0.12	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	91%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	0.06	12	66%	0.01	4	-0.12	11	82%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	19	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Michael Finley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	37%	-0.05	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.06	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	9	73%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.03	16	41%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	54%	0.00	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03
Jason Collier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	17	58%	0.07	7	-0.21	9	44%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.1	15.6	29.4	1.7	33.0	134.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.1%

DAL -17.4%

ATL +8.4%

ATL +12.2%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.5	101.0	111.9	104.0
season	14.9	15.6		108.2	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		108.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	13.7	15.8	11.9	13.9
ATL	13.2	16.9	14.8	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	10	10	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.09	3	-16	19	11.7	14.1	-2.42	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Darrell Armstrong	23	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-9	5	13.9	13.9	0.04	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Jason Terry	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-16	19	12.9	15.5	-2.52	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Erick Dampier	59	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-14	15	13.8	14.0	-0.25	15.7	13.8	1.88
Dirk Nowitzki	84	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-17	21	13.8	14.2	-0.38	15.5	11.9	3.61
Devin Harris	17	18	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	5	-23	14.0	13.9	0.15	10.6	15.8	-5.23
Josh Howard	80	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-15	17	13.9	13.7	0.24	16.0	10.9	5.12
Michael Finley	79	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	13.1	16.9	-3.79	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Shawn Bradley	14	14	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-1	-11	15.3	13.6	1.64	12.9	15.2	-2.38
Alan Henderson	33	33	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	6	-25	15.8	12.9	2.91	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Marquis Daniels	34	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	6	-25	15.7	12.9	2.74	14.1	15.3	-1.17

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	34	33	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.03	18	-5	23	14.3	15.2	-0.97	15.8	12.9	2.95
Al Harrington	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	5	3	15.0	14.6	0.47	13.5	14.8	-1.24
Josh Childress	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	5	3	15.7	13.5	2.15	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Kevin Willis	45	42	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	3	7	15.6	14.4	1.16	14.2	13.6	0.62
Antoine Walker	80	80	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	6	1	14.6	16.0	-1.44	13.8	14.0	-0.15
Tony Delk	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	3	7	15.0	14.8	0.16	13.5	14.3	-0.88
Josh Smith	74	71	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	13	-13	15.0	14.6	0.43	13.1	15.7	-2.61
Predrag Drobnjak	20	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	15.8	14.7	1.11	15.1	13.6	1.59
Jason Collier	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	13.9	15.2	-1.35	14.9	13.5	1.37
Royal Ivey	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	11	-9	13.6	15.7	-2.11	13.9	13.9	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.9%
ATL 88, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 115, CHI 121	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%