NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	5.6 [558]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): +17.4%
Chicago Bulls	121		Comeback	1.4 [964]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -14.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	6	83%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	18	61%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Marcus Thornton	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	19	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.05	4	82%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	0.06	20	57%	0.06	6	-0.15	9	78%	-0.00
John Salmons	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	8	19%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.01	7	100%	0.20	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.03	11	71%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	83%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	53%	0.11	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	25.8	15.7	29.4	2.4	41.4	142.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.5%

CHI +8.3%

SAC -2.8%

CHI +6.6%

CHI +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.6	115.0	119.8	102.8
season	14.9	16.0		102.2	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.1		97.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.7	14.7	15.3	12.0	13.9
CHI	15.1	16.0	14.1	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	15.3	13.7	1.58	17.1	14.5	2.58
DeMarcus Cousins	77	79	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-16	26	13.2	16.1	-2.87	15.1	13.5	1.68
Donte Greene	27	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	4	-14	14.6	13.6	1.03	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Marcus Thornton	81	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-12	18	13.6	15.1	-1.45	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Jason Thompson	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.46	8	-14	22	13.2	15.1	-1.92	14.7	14.9	-0.18
JJ Hickson	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	8	-22	15.3	13.1	2.21	15.3	14.5	0.83
Isaiah Thomas	42	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-4	2	12.8	14.7	-1.93	14.9	14.6	0.28
John Salmons	52	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	3	-12	14.7	13.0	1.73	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Charles Hayes	23	21	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	8	-22	16.1	13.2	2.87	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Tyreke Evans	89	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.5	17.1	-2.62

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	89	89	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-7	20	14.6	16.2	-1.68	13.9	13.9	-0.03
Taj Gibson	49	48	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-6	18	14.8	14.7	0.09	14.7	13.1	1.63
Omer Asik	23	24	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.11	16	-10	26	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.1	13.2	2.90
CJ Watson	68	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-2	10	14.0	16.3	-2.23	13.7	14.2	-0.49
John Lucas III	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	4	-2	15.0	14.6	0.35	13.0	14.7	-1.65
Kyle Korver	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	0	6	14.4	15.0	-0.62	14.6	13.4	1.19
Joakim Noah	78	76	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.44	-10	16	-26	14.7	15.2	-0.52	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Ronnie Brewer	58	58	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	11	-16	15.3	14.0	1.26	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	49	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.21	-12	18	-30	15.6	14.0	1.59	13.6	14.2	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 75, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 78, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
CHA 93, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%