NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	75		Excitement	5.9 [632]		MVP	Andre Miller (CLE): +4.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Comeback	1.6 [1015]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): -21.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	16	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	14	32%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Vonteego Cummings	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.04	-0.07	14	35%	-0.14	5	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	28	38%	-0.11	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.05	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kornel David	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	20	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	12	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	14	39%	-0.01	4	-0.10	3	0%	-0.05
Brevin Knight	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.03	0.03	11	44%	-0.07	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.4	13.8	24.5	2.3	23.7	118.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +66.1%

CLE +3.6%

GSW -13.2%

GSW -8.9%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	13.1	15.2	73.5	87.4	101.7
season	14.7	14.1		97.2	98.0
opponent	15.3	14.7		101.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.8	14.6	19.5	13.5	15.0
CLE	12.0	12.5	11.8	16.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Caffey	40	41	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-14	13	16.1	14.3	1.82	12.6	13.5	-0.91
Adonal Foyle	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-14	13	16.0	13.9	2.14	14.6	11.6	2.95
Mookie Blaylock	83	85	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-16	17	15.4	13.2	2.23	13.2	12.9	0.30
Antawn Jamison	83	87	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-14	13	15.4	13.2	2.23	13.1	13.1	0.01
Tony Farmer	26	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	1	-17	11.5	16.1	-4.61	12.5	13.3	-0.81
Vonteego Cummings	81	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.7	12.1	3.56	13.5	11.5	2.02
Erick Dampier	26	26	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	1	-17	14.9	15.0	-0.12	11.7	13.6	-1.98
Donyell Marshall	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	1	-17	14.7	15.4	-0.75	12.5	14.1	-1.58
Sam Mack	55	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	0	-15	12.8	17.5	-4.63	13.2	13.1	0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	59	59	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.09	28	-13	41	13.1	13.2	-0.04	14.9	15.0	-0.05
Wesley Person	48	47	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.05	24	-9	33	12.0	14.1	-2.17	13.9	15.9	-1.92
Andrew DeClercq	62	61	0.58	-0.08	0.65	-0.04	21	-6	27	12.9	13.4	-0.50	13.4	17.4	-4.01
Cedric Henderson	34	33	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	5	5	11.9	13.8	-1.92	13.8	15.5	-1.66
Mark Bryant	63	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	11	-7	11.8	15.3	-3.54	15.6	14.0	1.65
Ryan Stack	23	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	9	-3	16.3	12.2	4.14	12.7	15.6	-2.94
Lamond Murray	69	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	10	-5	13.8	11.9	1.92	15.5	13.8	1.66
Shawn Kemp	57	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	18	-21	13.7	12.4	1.35	16.8	12.4	4.37
Kornel David	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	4.0	13.2	-9.23	16.0	15.0	1.04
Bob Sura	55	55	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.11	-9	24	-33	14.1	12.0	2.17	15.9	13.9	1.92
Brevin Knight	44	43	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	28	-41	13.2	13.1	0.04	15.0	14.9	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAC 86, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DET 82, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%