NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	86		Excitement	4.6 [903]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +10.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.2 [950]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -12.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	18	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	49%	0.00	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	11	39%	-0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	16	53%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	11	75%	0.08	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	27.4	16.7	22.3	2.4	28.4	121.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.3%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +8.0%

LAL +10.2%

SAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.1	90.5	106.4	105.2
season	15.4	14.0		104.5	102.9
opponent	14.8	14.7		108.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	13.8	16.4	16.0	15.3
LAL	14.5	16.2	13.6	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	52	50	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-20	26	14.9	15.7	-0.84	15.8	14.5	1.34
Hamady Ndiaye	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.2	15.5	-4.29	19.4	15.0	4.42
Jason Thompson	43	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-13	12	15.9	14.7	1.22	15.5	14.9	0.61
Jimmer Fredette	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-8	2	14.3	15.7	-1.46	14.9	15.3	-0.41
John Salmons	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-3	-8	15.5	15.1	0.43	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Luc Mbah a Moute	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.8	14.2	1.53	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Greivis Vasquez	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.7	14.4	1.34	15.4	14.9	0.51
DeMarcus Cousins	59	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	16.1	13.9	2.21	15.4	14.8	0.61
Travis Outlaw	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	14.6	15.6	-0.92	15.3	15.2	0.07
Patrick Patterson	37	35	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.10	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Isaiah Thomas	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.12	-14	0	-14	14.7	16.2	-1.54	15.2	15.3	-0.07

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.10	15	-1	16	15.0	15.5	-0.51	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Shawne Williams	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	0	14	15.0	15.6	-0.57	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Pau Gasol	67	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	9	-4	14.9	16.0	-1.10	15.4	15.0	0.42
Jordan Farmar	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	1	12	14.4	15.7	-1.35	14.6	15.6	-0.96
Xavier Henry	41	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	5	4	15.1	15.3	-0.12	14.7	15.7	-1.02
Jodie Meeks	53	54	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	15.3	15.1	0.12	15.7	14.7	1.02
Steve Blake	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	13	-12	15.7	14.4	1.35	15.6	14.6	0.96
Jordan Hill	61	61	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	6	2	15.7	14.3	1.36	15.4	15.0	0.41
Wesley Johnson	40	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	14	-14	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.8	14.9	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 78, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
SAC 83, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 75, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%