NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	4.8 [834]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +22.5%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	1.4 [217]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -8.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.02	0.06	19	65%	0.15	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	57%	0.01	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.05	-0.07	18	57%	0.22	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	17	73%	0.20	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.5	2.8	37.2	18.8	42.4	1.8	30.2	170.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.7%

BOS -10.6%

ATL +12.2%

BOS -0.9%

ATL +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.4	108.1	117.2	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.9		107.2	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	16.1	19.1	14.4	16.2
ATL	15.0	16.6	15.2	22.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	6	6	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-14	19	8.5	16.7	-8.24	18.0	17.1	0.94
Leon Powe	12	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	16.4	16.1	0.30	18.6	16.9	1.66
Tony Allen	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-9	9	0.0	16.4	-16.35	0.0	17.1	-17.13
P.J. Brown	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-8	7	15.8	16.2	-0.43	20.1	16.7	3.36
Sam Cassell	26	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	17.3	15.7	1.64	18.1	16.7	1.41
Glen Davis	25	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	18.7	15.1	3.55	17.4	17.0	0.39
James Posey	40	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-5	1	17.0	15.5	1.52	20.1	14.4	5.69
Ray Allen	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	15.8	18.6	-2.84	17.0	18.1	-1.10
Kendrick Perkins	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	1	-11	15.6	16.6	-1.05	14.5	19.1	-4.55
Rajon Rondo	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	16.2	16.2	-0.01	16.0	19.3	-3.32
Paul Pierce	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	15.8	17.4	-1.61	16.8	18.2	-1.39
Kevin Garnett	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	16.3	15.0	1.32	17.0	18.3	-1.31

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-9	27	17.4	16.4	1.06	17.5	12.7	4.85
Joe Johnson	73	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-5	19	17.0	17.6	-0.53	17.0	12.0	5.04
Josh Childress	56	55	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-4	17	17.8	15.9	1.95	15.6	17.2	-1.61
Josh Smith	81	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-3	15	17.1	17.3	-0.22	15.8	19.9	-4.02
Mike Bibby	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	17.1	17.4	-0.33	16.0	17.4	-1.43
Acie Law	6	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	20.3	16.9	3.44	18.6	15.9	2.71
Mario West	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	0.0	17.3	-17.33	8.0	16.3	-8.26
Zaza Pachulia	25	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	15	-21	18.0	16.8	1.23	16.3	16.1	0.25
Solomon Jones	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	15	-21	11.4	17.6	-6.20	8.4	17.0	-8.59
Marvin Williams	45	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.10	-9	18	-27	16.4	17.9	-1.50	15.5	16.9	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, WAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 94, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 72, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%